WallStSmart

Geo Group Inc (GEO)vsGuardforce AI Co Ltd (GFAI)

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Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Geo Group Inc generates 7925% more annual revenue ($2.83B vs $35.23M). GEO leads profitability with a 10.3% profit margin vs -18.9%. GEO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 71/100 (B).

GEO

Strong Buy

71

out of 100

Grade: B

Growth: 7.3Profit: 6.5Value: 7.3Quality: 5.5
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 1.72

GFAI

Avoid

33

out of 100

Grade: F

Growth: 4.0Profit: 2.0Value: 5.0Quality: 6.5
Piotroski: 3/9Altman Z: 0.34
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

GEOUndervalued (+68.1%)

Margin of Safety

+68.1%

Fair Value

$49.63

Current Price

$31.22

$18.41 discount

UndervaluedFair: $49.63Overvalued

Intrinsic value data unavailable for GFAI.

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

GEO4 strengths · Avg: 8.5/10
EPS GrowthGrowth
71.4%10/10

Earnings expanding 71.4% YoY

P/E RatioValuation
14.7x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Price/BookValuation
2.8x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Revenue GrowthGrowth
15.1%8/10

15.1% revenue growth

GFAI2 strengths · Avg: 9.5/10
Price/BookValuation
0.3x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Debt/EquityHealth
0.129/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

Areas to Watch

GEO3 concerns · Avg: 3.7/10
PEG RatioValuation
1.904/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.724/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

Debt/EquityHealth
1.063/10

Elevated debt levels

GFAI4 concerns · Avg: 3.5/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
3.6%4/10

3.6% revenue growth

EPS GrowthGrowth
0.0%4/10

0.0% earnings growth

Market CapQuality
$11.00M3/10

Smaller company, higher risk/reward

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
3/93/10

Weak financial health signals

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : GEO

The strongest argument for GEO centers on EPS Growth, P/E Ratio, Price/Book. Revenue growth of 15.1% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : GFAI

The strongest argument for GFAI centers on Price/Book, Debt/Equity.

Bear Case : GEO

The primary concerns for GEO are PEG Ratio, Altman Z-Score, Debt/Equity.

Bear Case : GFAI

The primary concerns for GFAI are Revenue Growth, EPS Growth, Market Cap.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

GEO profiles as a growth stock while GFAI is a turnaround play — different risk/reward profiles.

GFAI carries more volatility with a beta of 2.71 — expect wider price swings.

GEO is growing revenue faster at 15.1% — sustainability is the question.

GEO generates stronger free cash flow (194M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

GEO scores higher overall (71/100 vs 33/100) and 15.1% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Avoid" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Geo Group Inc

INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA

The GEO Group (NYSE: GEO) is the first fully integrated capital real estate investment trust specializing in the design, financing, development and operation of secure facilities, processing centers and community re-entry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom.

Visit Website →

Guardforce AI Co Ltd

INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA

Guardforce AI Co Ltd (GFAI) is at the forefront of revolutionizing the security industry with its advanced AI-driven solutions, particularly in cash logistics and cybersecurity. By integrating automation and artificial intelligence, the company addresses the growing demand for intelligent security systems amidst a rapidly evolving threat landscape, significantly enhancing safety and operational efficacy. With a commitment to research and development, GFAI showcases a strong portfolio of patented technologies that not only aim to redefine industry standards but also deliver attractive long-term value for shareholders. Positioned to merge innovative technology with established security practices, Guardforce AI is set to establish new benchmarks within the sector.

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