WallStSmart

Geo Group Inc (GEO)vsGuardforce AI Co Ltd (GFAI)

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Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Geo Group Inc generates 7654% more annual revenue ($2.73B vs $35.23M). GEO leads profitability with a 10.0% profit margin vs -18.9%. GEO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 69/100 (B-).

GEO

Strong Buy

69

out of 100

Grade: B-

Growth: 7.3Profit: 6.5Value: 7.3Quality: 6.5
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 1.72

GFAI

Avoid

33

out of 100

Grade: F

Growth: 4.0Profit: 2.0Value: 5.0Quality: 6.5
Piotroski: 2/9Altman Z: 0.34
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Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

GEOUndervalued (+66.8%)

Margin of Safety

+66.8%

Fair Value

$47.69

Current Price

$29.55

$18.14 discount

UndervaluedFair: $47.69Overvalued

Intrinsic value data unavailable for GFAI.

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

GEO4 strengths · Avg: 8.5/10
EPS GrowthGrowth
106.5%10/10

Earnings expanding 106.5% YoY

P/E RatioValuation
14.9x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Price/BookValuation
2.5x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Revenue GrowthGrowth
16.6%8/10

16.6% revenue growth

GFAI2 strengths · Avg: 9.5/10
Price/BookValuation
0.3x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Debt/EquityHealth
0.129/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

Areas to Watch

GEO3 concerns · Avg: 3.7/10
PEG RatioValuation
1.984/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.724/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

Debt/EquityHealth
1.113/10

Elevated debt levels

GFAI4 concerns · Avg: 3.5/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
3.6%4/10

3.6% revenue growth

EPS GrowthGrowth
0.0%4/10

0.0% earnings growth

Market CapQuality
$12.19M3/10

Smaller company, higher risk/reward

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
2/93/10

Weak financial health signals

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : GEO

The strongest argument for GEO centers on EPS Growth, P/E Ratio, Price/Book. Revenue growth of 16.6% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : GFAI

The strongest argument for GFAI centers on Price/Book, Debt/Equity.

Bear Case : GEO

The primary concerns for GEO are PEG Ratio, Altman Z-Score, Debt/Equity.

Bear Case : GFAI

The primary concerns for GFAI are Revenue Growth, EPS Growth, Market Cap.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

GEO profiles as a growth stock while GFAI is a turnaround play — different risk/reward profiles.

GFAI carries more volatility with a beta of 2.67 — expect wider price swings.

GEO is growing revenue faster at 16.6% — sustainability is the question.

GEO generates stronger free cash flow (135M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

GEO scores higher overall (69/100 vs 33/100) and 16.6% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Avoid" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Geo Group Inc

INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA

The GEO Group (NYSE: GEO) is the first fully integrated capital real estate investment trust specializing in the design, financing, development and operation of secure facilities, processing centers and community re-entry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom.

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Guardforce AI Co Ltd

INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA

Guardforce AI Co Ltd (GFAI) is an innovative technology firm that is transforming the security landscape through its advanced AI-driven solutions focused on cash logistics and cybersecurity. The company leverages automation and artificial intelligence to address the increasing need for smart, efficient security systems in response to evolving threats, thereby enhancing safety and operational performance across multiple sectors. With a strong emphasis on research and development, GFAI boasts a robust portfolio of patented technologies that position it to redefine industry standards and deliver substantial value to shareholders. By blending cutting-edge technology with traditional security practices, Guardforce AI is poised to lead the charge in setting new benchmarks in the security industry.

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