Geo Group Inc (GEO)vsHowmet Aerospace Inc (HWM)
GEO
Geo Group Inc
$25.31
+0.64%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $3.80B
HWM
Howmet Aerospace Inc
$250.72
-1.88%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $100.31B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Howmet Aerospace Inc generates 216% more annual revenue ($8.62B vs $2.73B). HWM leads profitability with a 20.2% profit margin vs 10.0%. HWM appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.80. HWM earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 73/100 (B).
GEO
Strong Buy69
out of 100
Grade: B-
HWM
Strong Buy73
out of 100
Grade: B
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+66.9%
Fair Value
$47.81
Current Price
$25.31
$22.50 discount
Intrinsic value data unavailable for HWM.
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Earnings expanding 106.5% YoY
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Reasonable price relative to book value
16.6% revenue growth
Every $100 of equity generates 32 in profit
Earnings expanding 71.4% YoY
Large-cap with strong market position
Keeps 20 of every $100 in revenue as profit
Growing faster than its price suggests
Strong operational efficiency at 28.2%
Areas to Watch
Expensive relative to growth rate
Distress zone — elevated risk
Elevated debt levels
Trading at 18.2x book value
Premium valuation, high expectations priced in
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : GEO
The strongest argument for GEO centers on EPS Growth, P/E Ratio, Price/Book. Revenue growth of 16.6% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bull Case : HWM
The strongest argument for HWM centers on Return on Equity, EPS Growth, Market Cap. Profitability is solid with margins at 20.2% and operating margin at 28.2%. Revenue growth of 19.1% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : GEO
The primary concerns for GEO are PEG Ratio, Altman Z-Score, Debt/Equity.
Bear Case : HWM
The primary concerns for HWM are Price/Book, P/E Ratio. A P/E of 58.2x leaves little room for execution misses.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
HWM carries more volatility with a beta of 1.19 — expect wider price swings.
HWM is growing revenue faster at 19.1% — sustainability is the question.
HWM generates stronger free cash flow (359M), providing more financial flexibility.
Monitor SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.
Bottom Line
HWM scores higher overall (73/100 vs 69/100), backed by strong 20.2% margins and 19.1% revenue growth. GEO offers better value entry with a 66.9% margin of safety. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Strong Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Geo Group Inc
INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA
The GEO Group (NYSE: GEO) is the first fully integrated capital real estate investment trust specializing in the design, financing, development and operation of secure facilities, processing centers and community re-entry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom.
Visit Website →Howmet Aerospace Inc
INDUSTRIALS · AEROSPACE & DEFENSE · USA
Howmet Aerospace Inc. is an American aerospace company based in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. The company manufactures components for jet engines, fasteners and titanium structures for aerospace applications, and forged aluminum wheels for heavy trucks.
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