Geo Group Inc (GEO)vsMistras Group Inc (MG)
GEO
Geo Group Inc
$17.50
+3.31%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $2.28B
MG
Mistras Group Inc
$15.10
+1.27%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $459.08M
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Geo Group Inc generates 263% more annual revenue ($2.63B vs $724.02M). GEO leads profitability with a 9.7% profit margin vs 2.3%. MG appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.90. GEO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 74/100 (B).
GEO
Strong Buy74
out of 100
Grade: B
MG
Buy55
out of 100
Grade: C
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+81.4%
Fair Value
$85.18
Current Price
$17.50
$67.68 discount
Margin of Safety
-296.1%
Fair Value
$3.60
Current Price
$15.10
$11.50 premium
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Earnings expanding 117.7% YoY
Reasonable price relative to book value
16.5% revenue growth
Growing faster than its price suggests
Reasonable price relative to book value
Areas to Watch
Elevated debt levels
Negative free cash flow — burning cash
Moderate valuation
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
ROE of 7.8% — below average capital efficiency
2.3% margin — thin
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : GEO
The strongest argument for GEO centers on P/E Ratio, EPS Growth, Price/Book. Revenue growth of 16.5% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.02 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bull Case : MG
The strongest argument for MG centers on PEG Ratio, Price/Book. PEG of 0.90 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bear Case : GEO
The primary concerns for GEO are Debt/Equity, Free Cash Flow.
Bear Case : MG
The primary concerns for MG are P/E Ratio, Market Cap, Return on Equity. Thin 2.3% margins leave little buffer for downturns.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
GEO profiles as a growth stock while MG is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.
GEO carries more volatility with a beta of 0.76 — expect wider price swings.
GEO is growing revenue faster at 16.5% — sustainability is the question.
MG generates stronger free cash flow (26M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
GEO scores higher overall (74/100 vs 55/100) and 16.5% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Geo Group Inc
INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA
The GEO Group (NYSE: GEO) is the first fully integrated capital real estate investment trust specializing in the design, financing, development and operation of secure facilities, processing centers and community re-entry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom.
Visit Website →Mistras Group Inc
INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA
Mistras Group, Inc. provides technology-enabled asset protection solutions globally. The company is headquartered in Princeton Junction, New Jersey.
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