Geo Group Inc (GEO)vsNL Industries Inc (NL)
GEO
Geo Group Inc
$17.50
+3.31%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $2.28B
NL
NL Industries Inc
$5.81
+0.69%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $283.89M
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Geo Group Inc generates 1563% more annual revenue ($2.63B vs $158.28M). GEO leads profitability with a 9.7% profit margin vs -23.9%. GEO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 74/100 (B).
GEO
Strong Buy74
out of 100
Grade: B
NL
Hold36
out of 100
Grade: F
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+81.4%
Fair Value
$85.18
Current Price
$17.50
$67.68 discount
Intrinsic value data unavailable for NL.
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Earnings expanding 117.7% YoY
Reasonable price relative to book value
16.5% revenue growth
Reasonable price relative to book value
Strong operational efficiency at 40.4%
Areas to Watch
Elevated debt levels
Negative free cash flow — burning cash
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
ROE of -8.9% — below average capital efficiency
Revenue declined 1.9%
Earnings declined 95.5%
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : GEO
The strongest argument for GEO centers on P/E Ratio, EPS Growth, Price/Book. Revenue growth of 16.5% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.02 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bull Case : NL
The strongest argument for NL centers on Price/Book, Operating Margin.
Bear Case : GEO
The primary concerns for GEO are Debt/Equity, Free Cash Flow.
Bear Case : NL
The primary concerns for NL are Market Cap, Return on Equity, Revenue Growth.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
GEO profiles as a growth stock while NL is a turnaround play — different risk/reward profiles.
GEO carries more volatility with a beta of 0.76 — expect wider price swings.
GEO is growing revenue faster at 16.5% — sustainability is the question.
NL generates stronger free cash flow (-5M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
GEO scores higher overall (74/100 vs 36/100) and 16.5% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Geo Group Inc
INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA
The GEO Group (NYSE: GEO) is the first fully integrated capital real estate investment trust specializing in the design, financing, development and operation of secure facilities, processing centers and community re-entry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom.
Visit Website →NL Industries Inc
INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA
NL Industries, Inc., through its subsidiary, CompX International Inc., operates in the component products industry in the United States and internationally. The company is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.
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