Geo Group Inc (GEO)vsNL Industries Inc (NL)
GEO
Geo Group Inc
$31.49
+0.35%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $4.29B
NL
NL Industries Inc
$7.01
-0.14%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $322.24M
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Geo Group Inc generates 1647% more annual revenue ($2.83B vs $161.83M). GEO leads profitability with a 10.3% profit margin vs -15.8%. GEO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 71/100 (B).
GEO
Strong Buy71
out of 100
Grade: B
NL
Hold45
out of 100
Grade: D+
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+68.0%
Fair Value
$49.41
Current Price
$31.49
$17.92 discount
Intrinsic value data unavailable for NL.
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Earnings expanding 71.4% YoY
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Reasonable price relative to book value
15.1% revenue growth
Reasonable price relative to book value
Earnings expanding 2421.0% YoY
Conservative balance sheet, low leverage
Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk
Areas to Watch
Expensive relative to growth rate
Distress zone — elevated risk
Elevated debt levels
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
ROE of -8.0% — below average capital efficiency
Currently unprofitable
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : GEO
The strongest argument for GEO centers on EPS Growth, P/E Ratio, Price/Book. Revenue growth of 15.1% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bull Case : NL
The strongest argument for NL centers on Price/Book, EPS Growth, Debt/Equity.
Bear Case : GEO
The primary concerns for GEO are PEG Ratio, Altman Z-Score, Debt/Equity.
Bear Case : NL
The primary concerns for NL are Market Cap, Return on Equity, Profit Margin.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
GEO profiles as a growth stock while NL is a turnaround play — different risk/reward profiles.
GEO carries more volatility with a beta of 0.78 — expect wider price swings.
GEO is growing revenue faster at 15.1% — sustainability is the question.
GEO generates stronger free cash flow (194M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
GEO scores higher overall (71/100 vs 45/100) and 15.1% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Geo Group Inc
INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA
The GEO Group (NYSE: GEO) is the first fully integrated capital real estate investment trust specializing in the design, financing, development and operation of secure facilities, processing centers and community re-entry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom.
Visit Website →NL Industries Inc
INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA
NL Industries, Inc., through its subsidiary, CompX International Inc., operates in the component products industry in the United States and internationally. The company is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.
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