WallStSmart

Geo Group Inc (GEO)vsSupercom Ltd (SPCB)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Geo Group Inc generates 9500% more annual revenue ($2.73B vs $28.46M). GEO leads profitability with a 10.0% profit margin vs 3.0%. SPCB trades at a lower P/E of 13.4x. GEO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 69/100 (B-).

GEO

Strong Buy

69

out of 100

Grade: B-

Growth: 7.3Profit: 6.5Value: 7.3Quality: 6.5
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 1.72

SPCB

Hold

38

out of 100

Grade: F

Growth: 5.3Profit: 5.0Value: 6.0Quality: 6.5
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 0.13
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

GEOUndervalued (+66.9%)

Margin of Safety

+66.9%

Fair Value

$47.81

Current Price

$25.31

$22.50 discount

UndervaluedFair: $47.81Overvalued

Intrinsic value data unavailable for SPCB.

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

GEO4 strengths · Avg: 8.5/10
EPS GrowthGrowth
106.5%10/10

Earnings expanding 106.5% YoY

P/E RatioValuation
14.4x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Price/BookValuation
2.1x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Revenue GrowthGrowth
16.6%8/10

16.6% revenue growth

SPCB2 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
Price/BookValuation
1.3x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

P/E RatioValuation
13.4x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Areas to Watch

GEO3 concerns · Avg: 3.7/10
PEG RatioValuation
1.884/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.724/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

Debt/EquityHealth
1.113/10

Elevated debt levels

SPCB4 concerns · Avg: 2.5/10
Market CapQuality
$55.45M3/10

Smaller company, higher risk/reward

Profit MarginProfitability
3.0%3/10

3.0% margin — thin

EPS GrowthGrowth
-57.1%2/10

Earnings declined 57.1%

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
0.132/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : GEO

The strongest argument for GEO centers on EPS Growth, P/E Ratio, Price/Book. Revenue growth of 16.6% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : SPCB

The strongest argument for SPCB centers on Price/Book, P/E Ratio.

Bear Case : GEO

The primary concerns for GEO are PEG Ratio, Altman Z-Score, Debt/Equity.

Bear Case : SPCB

The primary concerns for SPCB are Market Cap, Profit Margin, EPS Growth. Thin 3.0% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

GEO profiles as a growth stock while SPCB is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.

SPCB carries more volatility with a beta of 1.17 — expect wider price swings.

GEO is growing revenue faster at 16.6% — sustainability is the question.

Monitor SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.

Bottom Line

GEO scores higher overall (69/100 vs 38/100) and 16.6% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Geo Group Inc

INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA

The GEO Group (NYSE: GEO) is the first fully integrated capital real estate investment trust specializing in the design, financing, development and operation of secure facilities, processing centers and community re-entry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom.

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Supercom Ltd

INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA

SuperCom Ltd. provides digital identity, Internet of things and connectivity, and cyber security products and solutions to governments and public and private organizations around the world. The company is headquartered in Tel Aviv-Yafo, Israel.

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