WallStSmart

Geo Group Inc (GEO)vsTerex Corporation (TEX)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Terex Corporation generates 117% more annual revenue ($5.93B vs $2.73B). GEO leads profitability with a 10.0% profit margin vs 1.9%. GEO appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.98. GEO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 69/100 (B-).

GEO

Strong Buy

69

out of 100

Grade: B-

Growth: 7.3Profit: 6.5Value: 7.3Quality: 6.5
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 1.72

TEX

Hold

50

out of 100

Grade: D+

Growth: 6.0Profit: 3.5Value: 4.3Quality: 6.5
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 2.23
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

GEOUndervalued (+66.8%)

Margin of Safety

+66.8%

Fair Value

$47.69

Current Price

$29.55

$18.14 discount

UndervaluedFair: $47.69Overvalued

Intrinsic value data unavailable for TEX.

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

GEO4 strengths · Avg: 8.5/10
EPS GrowthGrowth
106.5%10/10

Earnings expanding 106.5% YoY

P/E RatioValuation
14.9x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Price/BookValuation
2.5x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Revenue GrowthGrowth
16.6%8/10

16.6% revenue growth

TEX2 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
41.1%10/10

Revenue surging 41.1% year-over-year

Price/BookValuation
1.7x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Areas to Watch

GEO3 concerns · Avg: 3.7/10
PEG RatioValuation
1.984/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.724/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

Debt/EquityHealth
1.113/10

Elevated debt levels

TEX4 concerns · Avg: 3.5/10
PEG RatioValuation
2.034/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

P/E RatioValuation
36.4x4/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Return on EquityProfitability
3.2%3/10

ROE of 3.2% — below average capital efficiency

Profit MarginProfitability
1.9%3/10

1.9% margin — thin

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : GEO

The strongest argument for GEO centers on EPS Growth, P/E Ratio, Price/Book. Revenue growth of 16.6% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : TEX

The strongest argument for TEX centers on Revenue Growth, Price/Book. Revenue growth of 41.1% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : GEO

The primary concerns for GEO are PEG Ratio, Altman Z-Score, Debt/Equity.

Bear Case : TEX

The primary concerns for TEX are PEG Ratio, P/E Ratio, Return on Equity. Thin 1.9% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

GEO profiles as a growth stock while TEX is a hypergrowth play — different risk/reward profiles.

TEX carries more volatility with a beta of 1.54 — expect wider price swings.

TEX is growing revenue faster at 41.1% — sustainability is the question.

GEO generates stronger free cash flow (135M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

GEO scores higher overall (69/100 vs 50/100) and 16.6% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Geo Group Inc

INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA

The GEO Group (NYSE: GEO) is the first fully integrated capital real estate investment trust specializing in the design, financing, development and operation of secure facilities, processing centers and community re-entry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom.

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Terex Corporation

INDUSTRIALS · FARM & HEAVY CONSTRUCTION MACHINERY · USA

Terex Corporation manufactures and sells aerial work platforms and materials processing machinery worldwide. The company is headquartered in Norwalk, Connecticut.

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