Green Plains Renewable Energy Inc (GPRE)vsMP Materials Corp (MP)
GPRE
Green Plains Renewable Energy Inc
$13.72
+1.70%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $975.03M
MP
MP Materials Corp
$41.06
+0.46%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $7.15B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Green Plains Renewable Energy Inc generates 339% more annual revenue ($1.83B vs $416.25M). GPRE leads profitability with a 6.8% profit margin vs -14.6%. GPRE earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 59/100 (C).
GPRE
Buy59
out of 100
Grade: C
MP
Avoid30
out of 100
Grade: F
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+51.4%
Fair Value
$31.89
Current Price
$13.72
$18.17 discount
Margin of Safety
+12.6%
Fair Value
$43.82
Current Price
$41.06
$2.76 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Reasonable price relative to book value
Revenue surging 119.7% year-over-year
Areas to Watch
Distress zone — elevated risk
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
6.8% margin — thin
Weak financial health signals
Distress zone — elevated risk
ROE of -3.0% — below average capital efficiency
Earnings declined 55.6%
Negative free cash flow — burning cash
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : GPRE
The strongest argument for GPRE centers on P/E Ratio, Price/Book. PEG of 1.16 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bull Case : MP
The strongest argument for MP centers on Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 119.7% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : GPRE
The primary concerns for GPRE are Altman Z-Score, Market Cap, Profit Margin.
Bear Case : MP
The primary concerns for MP are Altman Z-Score, Return on Equity, EPS Growth.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
GPRE profiles as a value stock while MP is a hypergrowth play — different risk/reward profiles.
MP carries more volatility with a beta of 1.99 — expect wider price swings.
MP is growing revenue faster at 119.7% — sustainability is the question.
GPRE generates stronger free cash flow (76M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
GPRE scores higher overall (59/100 vs 30/100). Both earn "Buy" and "Avoid" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Green Plains Renewable Energy Inc
BASIC MATERIALS · CHEMICALS · USA
Green Plains Inc. produces, markets, and distributes ethanol in the United States and internationally. The company is headquartered in Omaha, Nebraska.
MP Materials Corp
BASIC MATERIALS · OTHER INDUSTRIAL METALS & MINING · USA
MP Materials Corp. The company is headquartered in Las Vegas, Nevada.
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