Green Plains Renewable Energy Inc (GPRE)vsMP Materials Corp (MP)
GPRE
Green Plains Renewable Energy Inc
$14.97
-0.73%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $1.05B
MP
MP Materials Corp
$65.45
+1.23%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $10.25B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Green Plains Renewable Energy Inc generates 457% more annual revenue ($1.94B vs $347.57M). GPRE leads profitability with a -0.8% profit margin vs -20.5%. GPRE earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 46/100 (D+).
GPRE
Hold46
out of 100
Grade: D+
MP
Avoid28
out of 100
Grade: F
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+55.1%
Fair Value
$34.53
Current Price
$14.97
$19.56 discount
Margin of Safety
-55.4%
Fair Value
$37.03
Current Price
$65.45
$28.42 premium
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Reasonable price relative to book value
Revenue surging 118.6% year-over-year
Areas to Watch
Distress zone — elevated risk
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
Weak financial health signals
ROE of -2.0% — below average capital efficiency
Distress zone — elevated risk
ROE of -3.0% — below average capital efficiency
Earnings declined 55.6%
Negative free cash flow — burning cash
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : GPRE
The strongest argument for GPRE centers on Price/Book. PEG of 1.16 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bull Case : MP
The strongest argument for MP centers on Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 118.6% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : GPRE
The primary concerns for GPRE are Altman Z-Score, Market Cap, Piotroski F-Score.
Bear Case : MP
The primary concerns for MP are Altman Z-Score, Return on Equity, EPS Growth.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
GPRE profiles as a turnaround stock while MP is a hypergrowth play — different risk/reward profiles.
MP carries more volatility with a beta of 1.84 — expect wider price swings.
MP is growing revenue faster at 118.6% — sustainability is the question.
GPRE generates stronger free cash flow (-46M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
GPRE scores higher overall (46/100 vs 28/100). Both earn "Hold" and "Avoid" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Green Plains Renewable Energy Inc
BASIC MATERIALS · CHEMICALS · USA
Green Plains Inc. produces, markets, and distributes ethanol in the United States and internationally. The company is headquartered in Omaha, Nebraska.
MP Materials Corp
BASIC MATERIALS · OTHER INDUSTRIAL METALS & MINING · USA
MP Materials Corp. The company is headquartered in Las Vegas, Nevada.
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