WallStSmart

Harley-Davidson Inc (HOG)vsPolaris Industries Inc (PII)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Polaris Industries Inc generates 77% more annual revenue ($7.52B vs $4.24B). HOG leads profitability with a 4.8% profit margin vs -3.5%. HOG appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 2.11. HOG earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 49/100 (D+).

HOG

Hold

49

out of 100

Grade: D+

Growth: 2.0Profit: 4.5Value: 7.3Quality: 7.0
Piotroski: 6/9Altman Z: 2.23

PII

Hold

38

out of 100

Grade: F

Growth: 3.3Profit: 3.5Value: 5.7Quality: 3.5
Piotroski: 3/9Altman Z: 1.17
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

HOGUndervalued (+35.3%)

Margin of Safety

+35.3%

Fair Value

$31.79

Current Price

$27.87

$3.92 discount

UndervaluedFair: $31.79Overvalued
PIIUndervalued (+55.5%)

Margin of Safety

+55.5%

Fair Value

$150.09

Current Price

$58.51

$91.58 discount

UndervaluedFair: $150.09Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

HOG2 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
Price/BookValuation
0.9x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

P/E RatioValuation
14.8x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

PII0 strengths · Avg: 0/10

No standout strengths identified

Areas to Watch

HOG4 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
2.114/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Return on EquityProfitability
7.1%3/10

ROE of 7.1% — below average capital efficiency

Profit MarginProfitability
4.8%3/10

4.8% margin — thin

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-5.9%2/10

Revenue declined 5.9%

PII4 concerns · Avg: 2.3/10
Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
3/93/10

Weak financial health signals

PEG RatioValuation
3.342/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Return on EquityProfitability
-59.5%2/10

ROE of -59.5% — below average capital efficiency

EPS GrowthGrowth
-89.6%2/10

Earnings declined 89.6%

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : HOG

The strongest argument for HOG centers on Price/Book, P/E Ratio.

Bull Case : PII

PII has a balanced fundamental profile.

Bear Case : HOG

The primary concerns for HOG are PEG Ratio, Return on Equity, Profit Margin. Thin 4.8% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Bear Case : PII

The primary concerns for PII are Piotroski F-Score, PEG Ratio, Return on Equity. Debt-to-equity of 2.33 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

HOG profiles as a value stock while PII is a turnaround play — different risk/reward profiles.

HOG carries more volatility with a beta of 1.30 — expect wider price swings.

PII is growing revenue faster at 8.8% — sustainability is the question.

PII generates stronger free cash flow (186M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

HOG scores higher overall (49/100 vs 38/100). PII offers better value entry with a 55.5% margin of safety. Both earn "Hold" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Harley-Davidson Inc

CONSUMER CYCLICAL · RECREATIONAL VEHICLES · USA

Harley-Davidson, Inc. manufactures and sells custom, cruiser and touring motorcycles. The company is headquartered in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.

Polaris Industries Inc

CONSUMER CYCLICAL · RECREATIONAL VEHICLES · USA

Polaris Inc. designs, designs, manufactures and markets motor sports vehicles worldwide. The company is headquartered in Medina, Minnesota.

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