WallStSmart

Marten Transport Ltd (MRTN)vsXPO Logistics Inc (XPO)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

XPO Logistics Inc generates 861% more annual revenue ($8.30B vs $864.03M). XPO leads profitability with a 4.2% profit margin vs 1.7%. MRTN appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.83. XPO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 53/100 (C-).

MRTN

Hold

41

out of 100

Grade: D

Growth: 2.0Profit: 4.0Value: 5.3Quality: 8.0
Piotroski: 2/9Altman Z: 4.69

XPO

Buy

53

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 6.7Profit: 6.0Value: 2.0Quality: 4.0
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 1.63
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

MRTNUndervalued (+35.1%)

Margin of Safety

+35.1%

Fair Value

$21.10

Current Price

$17.52

$3.58 discount

UndervaluedFair: $21.10Overvalued
XPOSignificantly Overvalued (-23.4%)

Margin of Safety

-23.4%

Fair Value

$163.60

Current Price

$218.94

$55.34 premium

UndervaluedFair: $163.60Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

MRTN3 strengths · Avg: 9.3/10
Debt/EquityHealth
0.0010/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
4.6910/10

Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk

Price/BookValuation
1.9x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

XPO1 strengths · Avg: 8.0/10
EPS GrowthGrowth
46.6%8/10

Earnings expanding 46.6% YoY

Areas to Watch

MRTN4 concerns · Avg: 3.3/10
PEG RatioValuation
1.834/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Market CapQuality
$1.48B3/10

Smaller company, higher risk/reward

Return on EquityProfitability
1.9%3/10

ROE of 1.9% — below average capital efficiency

Profit MarginProfitability
1.7%3/10

1.7% margin — thin

XPO4 concerns · Avg: 3.3/10
Price/BookValuation
13.8x4/10

Trading at 13.8x book value

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.634/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

Profit MarginProfitability
4.2%3/10

4.2% margin — thin

PEG RatioValuation
2.532/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : MRTN

The strongest argument for MRTN centers on Debt/Equity, Altman Z-Score, Price/Book.

Bull Case : XPO

The strongest argument for XPO centers on EPS Growth.

Bear Case : MRTN

The primary concerns for MRTN are PEG Ratio, Market Cap, Return on Equity. A P/E of 100.5x leaves little room for execution misses. Thin 1.7% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Bear Case : XPO

The primary concerns for XPO are Price/Book, Altman Z-Score, Profit Margin. A P/E of 78.7x leaves little room for execution misses. Debt-to-equity of 2.18 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

XPO carries more volatility with a beta of 1.64 — expect wider price swings.

XPO is growing revenue faster at 7.3% — sustainability is the question.

XPO generates stronger free cash flow (72M), providing more financial flexibility.

Monitor TRUCKING industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.

Bottom Line

XPO scores higher overall (53/100 vs 41/100). MRTN offers better value entry with a 35.1% margin of safety. Both earn "Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Marten Transport Ltd

INDUSTRIALS · TRUCKING · USA

Marten Transport, Ltd. is a temperature sensitive cargo truck for carriers in the United States, Canada and Mexico. The company is headquartered in Mondovi, Wisconsin.

XPO Logistics Inc

INDUSTRIALS · TRUCKING · USA

XPO Logistics, Inc. provides supply chain solutions in the United States, the rest of North America, France, the United Kingdom, the rest of Europe, and internationally. The company is headquartered in Greenwich, Connecticut.

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