Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC)vsZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO)
NOC
Northrop Grumman Corporation
$579.48
+1.24%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $82.31B
ZTO
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc
$25.37
-0.98%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $19.46B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc generates 16% more annual revenue ($49.10B vs $42.37B). ZTO leads profitability with a 18.5% profit margin vs 10.8%. ZTO appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.29. ZTO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 69/100 (B-).
NOC
Buy63
out of 100
Grade: C+
ZTO
Strong Buy69
out of 100
Grade: B-
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
-61.6%
Fair Value
$419.98
Current Price
$579.48
$159.50 premium
Margin of Safety
+81.2%
Fair Value
$132.23
Current Price
$25.37
$106.86 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Earnings expanding 84.9% YoY
Large-cap with strong market position
Every $100 of equity generates 29 in profit
Generating 12.0B in free cash flow
Conservative balance sheet, low leverage
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Reasonable price relative to book value
Strong operational efficiency at 22.3%
Areas to Watch
4.4% revenue growth
Grey zone — moderate risk
Elevated debt levels
Weak financial health signals
No major concerns identified
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : NOC
The strongest argument for NOC centers on EPS Growth, Market Cap, Return on Equity.
Bull Case : ZTO
The strongest argument for ZTO centers on Free Cash Flow, Debt/Equity, P/E Ratio. Profitability is solid with margins at 18.5% and operating margin at 22.3%. Revenue growth of 12.3% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : NOC
The primary concerns for NOC are Revenue Growth, Altman Z-Score, Debt/Equity.
Bear Case : ZTO
No major red flags identified for ZTO, but monitor valuation.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
NOC profiles as a value stock while ZTO is a mature play — different risk/reward profiles.
NOC carries more volatility with a beta of 0.05 — expect wider price swings.
ZTO is growing revenue faster at 12.3% — sustainability is the question.
ZTO generates stronger free cash flow (12.0B), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
ZTO scores higher overall (69/100 vs 63/100), backed by strong 18.5% margins and 12.3% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Northrop Grumman Corporation
INDUSTRIALS · AEROSPACE & DEFENSE · USA
Northrop Grumman Corporation (NYSE: NOC) is an American multinational aerospace and defense technology company.
Visit Website →ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc
INDUSTRIALS · INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS · China
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. provides express delivery and other value-added logistics services in the People's Republic of China. The company is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.
Visit Website →Compare with Other AEROSPACE & DEFENSE Stocks
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