WallStSmart

NRG Energy Inc. (NRG)vsUnion Pacific Corporation (UNP)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

NRG Energy Inc. generates 25% more annual revenue ($30.71B vs $24.51B). UNP leads profitability with a 29.1% profit margin vs 2.8%. NRG appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.29. UNP earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 60/100 (C).

NRG

Buy

54

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 3.3Profit: 6.0Value: 7.3Quality: 5.3
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 1.70

UNP

Buy

60

out of 100

Grade: C

Growth: 3.3Profit: 9.5Value: 5.3Quality: 5.0
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

NRGSignificantly Overvalued (-490.6%)

Margin of Safety

-490.6%

Fair Value

$27.20

Current Price

$151.04

$123.84 premium

UndervaluedFair: $27.20Overvalued
UNPOvervalued (-13.1%)

Margin of Safety

-13.1%

Fair Value

$211.98

Current Price

$241.33

$29.35 premium

UndervaluedFair: $211.98Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

NRG1 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Return on EquityProfitability
41.5%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 42 in profit

UNP5 strengths · Avg: 9.2/10
Return on EquityProfitability
40.4%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 40 in profit

Operating MarginProfitability
40.9%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 40.9%

Market CapQuality
$142.22B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Profit MarginProfitability
29.1%9/10

Keeps 29 of every $100 in revenue as profit

Free Cash FlowQuality
$1.23B8/10

Generating 1.2B in free cash flow

Areas to Watch

NRG4 concerns · Avg: 3.5/10
P/E RatioValuation
37.8x4/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.704/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

Profit MarginProfitability
2.8%3/10

2.8% margin — thin

Operating MarginProfitability
4.3%3/10

Operating margin of 4.3%

UNP2 concerns · Avg: 2.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
2.692/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-0.6%2/10

Revenue declined 0.6%

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : NRG

The strongest argument for NRG centers on Return on Equity. Revenue growth of 13.7% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.29 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bull Case : UNP

The strongest argument for UNP centers on Return on Equity, Operating Margin, Market Cap. Profitability is solid with margins at 29.1% and operating margin at 40.9%.

Bear Case : NRG

The primary concerns for NRG are P/E Ratio, Altman Z-Score, Profit Margin. Thin 2.8% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Bear Case : UNP

The primary concerns for UNP are PEG Ratio, Revenue Growth.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

NRG profiles as a value stock while UNP is a declining play — different risk/reward profiles.

NRG carries more volatility with a beta of 1.26 — expect wider price swings.

NRG is growing revenue faster at 13.7% — sustainability is the question.

UNP generates stronger free cash flow (1.2B), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

UNP scores higher overall (60/100 vs 54/100), backed by strong 29.1% margins. Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

NRG Energy Inc.

UTILITIES · UTILITIES - INDEPENDENT POWER PRODUCERS · USA

NRG Energy, Inc. is a large American energy company, headquartered in Houston, Texas. It was formerly the wholesale arm of Northern States Power Company (NSP), which became Xcel Energy, but became independent in 2000. NRG Energy is involved in energy generation and retail electricity.

Union Pacific Corporation

INDUSTRIALS · RAILROADS · USA

The Union Pacific Corporation (Union Pacific) is a publicly traded railroad holding company. It was incorporated in Utah in 1969 and is headquartered in Omaha, Nebraska. It is the parent company of the current, Delaware-registered, form of the Union Pacific Railroad.

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