TransAlta Corp (TAC)vsVistra Energy Corp (VST)
TAC
TransAlta Corp
$12.48
0.00%
UTILITIES · Cap: $3.70B
VST
Vistra Energy Corp
$155.28
-1.62%
UTILITIES · Cap: $52.57B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Vistra Energy Corp generates 638% more annual revenue ($17.74B vs $2.40B). VST leads profitability with a 5.3% profit margin vs -5.7%. VST appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.34. VST earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 53/100 (C-).
TAC
Avoid31
out of 100
Grade: F
VST
Buy53
out of 100
Grade: C-
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+38.3%
Fair Value
$21.96
Current Price
$12.48
$9.48 discount
Margin of Safety
-53.8%
Fair Value
$100.71
Current Price
$155.28
$54.57 premium
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
No standout strengths identified
Large-cap with strong market position
Areas to Watch
Trading at 11.2x book value
Weak financial health signals
Expensive relative to growth rate
ROE of -9.6% — below average capital efficiency
5.3% margin — thin
Weak financial health signals
Premium valuation, high expectations priced in
Trading at 20.0x book value
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : TAC
TAC has a balanced fundamental profile.
Bull Case : VST
The strongest argument for VST centers on Market Cap. Revenue growth of 13.6% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.34 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bear Case : TAC
The primary concerns for TAC are Price/Book, Piotroski F-Score, PEG Ratio.
Bear Case : VST
The primary concerns for VST are Profit Margin, Piotroski F-Score, P/E Ratio. A P/E of 71.6x leaves little room for execution misses. Debt-to-equity of 3.36 is elevated, increasing financial risk.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
TAC profiles as a turnaround stock while VST is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.
VST carries more volatility with a beta of 1.45 — expect wider price swings.
VST is growing revenue faster at 13.6% — sustainability is the question.
TAC generates stronger free cash flow (147M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
VST scores higher overall (53/100 vs 31/100) and 13.6% revenue growth. TAC offers better value entry with a 38.3% margin of safety. Both earn "Buy" and "Avoid" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
TransAlta Corp
UTILITIES · UTILITIES - INDEPENDENT POWER PRODUCERS · USA
TransAlta Corporation owns, operates and develops a diverse fleet of electric power generation assets in Canada, the United States and Australia. The company is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.
Vistra Energy Corp
UTILITIES · UTILITIES - INDEPENDENT POWER PRODUCERS · USA
Vistra Corp. The company is headquartered in Irving, Texas.
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