WallStSmart

TXNM Energy, Inc. (TXNM)vsVistra Corp. (VST)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Vistra Corp. generates 711% more annual revenue ($17.74B vs $2.19B). TXNM leads profitability with a 6.7% profit margin vs 5.3%. VST appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.38. VST earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 53/100 (C-).

TXNM

Hold

49

out of 100

Grade: D+

Growth: 2.7Profit: 5.0Value: 3.3Quality: 3.3
Piotroski: 2/9Altman Z: 0.48

VST

Buy

53

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 3.3Profit: 6.0Value: 3.3Quality: 2.5
Piotroski: 2/9Altman Z: 0.73
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

TXNMOvervalued (-10.8%)

Margin of Safety

-10.8%

Fair Value

$53.56

Current Price

$58.99

$5.43 premium

UndervaluedFair: $53.56Overvalued
VSTSignificantly Overvalued (-53.3%)

Margin of Safety

-53.3%

Fair Value

$101.06

Current Price

$147.72

$46.66 premium

UndervaluedFair: $101.06Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

TXNM1 strengths · Avg: 8.0/10
Price/BookValuation
1.9x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

VST1 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
Market CapQuality
$52.12B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Areas to Watch

TXNM4 concerns · Avg: 3.3/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
4.6%4/10

4.6% revenue growth

Return on EquityProfitability
5.4%3/10

ROE of 5.4% — below average capital efficiency

Profit MarginProfitability
6.7%3/10

6.7% margin — thin

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
2/93/10

Weak financial health signals

VST4 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
Price/BookValuation
19.1x4/10

Trading at 19.1x book value

Profit MarginProfitability
5.3%3/10

5.3% margin — thin

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
2/93/10

Weak financial health signals

P/E RatioValuation
70.6x2/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : TXNM

The strongest argument for TXNM centers on Price/Book.

Bull Case : VST

The strongest argument for VST centers on Market Cap. Revenue growth of 13.6% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.38 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : TXNM

The primary concerns for TXNM are Revenue Growth, Return on Equity, Profit Margin. A P/E of 42.0x leaves little room for execution misses.

Bear Case : VST

The primary concerns for VST are Price/Book, Profit Margin, Piotroski F-Score. A P/E of 70.6x leaves little room for execution misses. Debt-to-equity of 3.36 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

VST carries more volatility with a beta of 1.45 — expect wider price swings.

VST is growing revenue faster at 13.6% — sustainability is the question.

VST generates stronger free cash flow (-82M), providing more financial flexibility.

Monitor UTILITIES - REGULATED ELECTRIC industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.

Bottom Line

VST scores higher overall (53/100 vs 49/100) and 13.6% revenue growth. Both earn "Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

TXNM Energy, Inc.

UTILITIES · UTILITIES - REGULATED ELECTRIC · USA

TXNM Energy, Inc., provides electricity and electric services in the United States. The company is headquartered in Albuquerque, New Mexico.

Vistra Corp.

UTILITIES · UTILITIES - INDEPENDENT POWER PRODUCERS · USA

Vistra Corp. The company is headquartered in Irving, Texas.

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