WallStSmart

AMERISAFE Inc (AMSF) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target

AMERISAFE Inc stock (AMSF) is currently trading at $32.84. AMERISAFE Inc PE ratio is 13.07. AMERISAFE Inc PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 1.93. Analyst consensus price target for AMSF is $42.33. WallStSmart rates AMSF as Hold.

  • AMSF PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
  • AMSF PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
  • AMSF intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
  • AMSF stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
  • AMSF fair value vs current price
  • AMSF insider transactions and insider buying
  • Is AMSF undervalued or overvalued?
  • AMERISAFE Inc financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
  • AMSF Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
  • AMSF analyst price target and Smart Rating
AMSF

AMERISAFE Inc

NASDAQFINANCIAL SERVICES
$32.84
$0.26 (-0.79%)
52W$31.60
$51.19
Target$42.33+28.9%

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IV

AMSF Intrinsic Value Analysis for Value Investors

Benjamin Graham Formula · AMERISAFE Inc (AMSF)

Margin of Safety
-128.7%
Significantly Overvalued
AMSF Fair Value
$16.80
Graham Formula
Current Price
$32.84
$16.04 above fair value
Undervalued
Fair: $16.80
Overvalued
Price $32.84
Graham IV $16.80
Analyst $42.33

AMSF trades 129% above its Graham fair value of $16.80, indicating the stock may be overvalued at current levels.

Based on Benjamin Graham Formula. Growth rate capped at 25%. For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.

WallStSmart

Smart Analysis

AMERISAFE Inc (AMSF) · 10 metrics scored

Smart Score

60
out of 100
Grade: C
Buy
Investment Rating

Category Performance

WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.

Investment Thesis

Strong fundamentals in price/sales, institutional own.. Concerns around eps growth. Fundamentals are solid but monitor weak areas for improvement.

AMERISAFE Inc (AMSF) Key Strengths (3)

Avg Score: 8.3/10
Institutional Own.Quality
100.40%10/10

100.40% of shares held by major funds and institutions

Price/SalesValuation
1.938/10

Paying $1.93 for every $1 of annual revenue

Return on EquityProfitability
18.50%7/10

Solid profitability: $19 profit per $100 equity

Supporting Valuation Data

P/E Ratio
13.07
Undervalued
Trailing P/E
13.07
Undervalued
Price/Sales (TTM)
1.926
Undervalued
EV/Revenue
1.718
Undervalued
AMSF Target Price
$42.33
16% Upside

AMERISAFE Inc (AMSF) Areas to Watch (7)

Avg Score: 5.0/10
EPS GrowthGrowth
-19.20%0/10

Earnings declining -19.20%, profits shrinking

Market CapQuality
$611M5/10

Small-cap company with higher risk but more growth potential

PEG RatioValuation
1.816/10

Growth is fairly priced, not cheap, not expensive

Operating MarginProfitability
15.60%6/10

Decent operational efficiency, solid but not exceptional

Price/BookValuation
2.416/10

Fairly priced relative to book value

Revenue GrowthGrowth
10.20%6/10

Solid revenue growth at 10.20% per year

Profit MarginProfitability
14.90%6/10

Decent profitability, keeps $15 per $100 revenue

AMERISAFE Inc (AMSF) Detailed Analysis Report

Overall Assessment

This company scores 60/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a C grade. Out of 10 metrics analyzed, 3 register as strengths (avg 8.3/10) while 7 fall into concern territory (avg 5.0/10). The category breakdown reveals uneven performance, with some areas requiring attention.

The Bull Case

The strongest argument centers on Institutional Own., Price/Sales, Return on Equity. Valuation metrics including Price/Sales (1.93) suggest the stock is attractively priced. Profitability is solid with Return on Equity at 18.50%.

The Bear Case

The primary concerns are EPS Growth, Market Cap, PEG Ratio. Some valuation metrics including PEG Ratio (1.81), Price/Book (2.41) suggest expensive pricing. Growth concerns include Revenue Growth at 10.20%, EPS Growth at -19.20%, which may limit upside. Profitability pressure is visible in Operating Margin at 15.60%, Profit Margin at 14.90%.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether EPS Growth improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at 18.50% currently healthy but needing to be sustained. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at 10.20% needing to reaccelerate.

Risk Considerations

Based on the metric profile, this is a moderate-to-high risk investment. There are more areas of concern than strength, warranting a more conservative position size. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.

Bottom Line

Mixed fundamentals with both positives (Institutional Own., Price/Sales) and negatives (EPS Growth, Market Cap). A cautious approach is warranted. Monitor for improvement in weak areas before increasing conviction.

Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.

AMSF Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart

Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue

AMSF's Price-to-Sales ratio of 1.93x sits near its historical average of 2.23x (38th percentile), suggesting the market is pricing in steady-state growth. The current valuation is 47% below its historical high of 3.65x set in May 2021, and 221% above its historical low of 0.6x in Feb 2006.

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WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis

Data-driven financial summary for AMERISAFE Inc (AMSF) · FINANCIAL SERVICESINSURANCE - SPECIALTY

The Big Picture

AMERISAFE Inc operates as a stable business with moderate growth and solid fundamentals. Revenue reached 317M with 10% growth year-over-year. Profit margins of 14.9% are healthy, with room for further expansion as the business scales.

Key Findings

Excellent Capital Efficiency

ROE of 1850.0% means the company generates strong returns on shareholder equity. Above 20% is considered top-tier.

Cash Flow Positive

Generating 10M in free cash flow and 11M in operating cash flow. Earnings are translating into actual cash generation.

What to Watch Next

Margin expansion: can AMERISAFE Inc push profit margins above 15% as the business scales?

Dividend sustainability with a current yield of 481.0%. Watch payout ratio and free cash flow coverage.

Sector dynamics: monitor INSURANCE - SPECIALTY industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact AMERISAFE Inc.

Bottom Line

AMERISAFE Inc offers stability with moderate growth and solid fundamentals. The valuation may present an opportunity for patient investors, though limited growth means returns will likely come from dividends and modest capital appreciation rather than explosive gains.

This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Insider Transactions

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About AMERISAFE Inc(AMSF)

Exchange

NASDAQ

Sector

FINANCIAL SERVICES

Industry

INSURANCE - SPECIALTY

Country

USA

AMERISAFE, Inc., an insurance holding company, writes workers' compensation insurance in the United States. The company is headquartered in DeRidder, Louisiana.

Visit AMERISAFE Inc (AMSF) Website
2301 HIGHWAY 190 WEST, DERIDDER, LA, UNITED STATES, 70634