WallStSmart

Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. (CVLG) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target

Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. stock (CVLG) is currently trading at $26.61. Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. PE ratio is 158.12. Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 0.55. Analyst consensus price target for CVLG is $31.67. WallStSmart rates CVLG as Sell.

  • CVLG PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
  • CVLG PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
  • CVLG intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
  • CVLG stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
  • CVLG fair value vs current price
  • CVLG insider transactions and insider buying
  • Is CVLG undervalued or overvalued?
  • Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
  • CVLG Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
  • CVLG analyst price target and Smart Rating
CVLG

Covenant Logistics Group, Inc.

NYSEINDUSTRIALS
$26.61
$0.34 (1.29%)
52W$17.26
$30.36
Target$31.67+19.0%

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IV

CVLG Intrinsic Value Analysis for Value Investors

Benjamin Graham Formula · Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. (CVLG)

Margin of Safety
-2584.4%
Significantly Overvalued
CVLG Fair Value
$1.09
Graham Formula
Current Price
$26.61
$25.52 above fair value
Undervalued
Fair: $1.09
Overvalued
Price $26.61
Graham IV $1.09
Analyst $31.67

CVLG trades 2584% above its Graham fair value of $1.09, indicating the stock may be overvalued at current levels.

Based on Benjamin Graham Formula. Growth rate capped at 25%. For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.

WallStSmart

Smart Analysis

Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. (CVLG) · 9 metrics scored

Smart Score

39
out of 100
Grade: F
Hold
Investment Rating

Category Performance

WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.

Investment Thesis

Strong fundamentals in price/sales, price/book, institutional own.. Concerns around return on equity and operating margin. Mixed signals suggest waiting for clearer direction before acting.

Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. (CVLG) Key Strengths (3)

Avg Score: 8.7/10
Price/SalesValuation
0.5510/10

Paying less than $1 for every $1 of annual revenue

Price/BookValuation
1.578/10

Trading at 1.57x book value, attractively priced

Institutional Own.Quality
69.34%8/10

69.34% held by institutions, strong professional interest

Supporting Valuation Data

Forward P/E
14.88
Attractive
Price/Sales (TTM)
0.545
Undervalued
EV/Revenue
0.832
Undervalued
CVLG Target Price
$31.67
17% Upside

Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. (CVLG) Areas to Watch (6)

Avg Score: 2.0/10
Operating MarginProfitability
-2.06%0/10

Losing money on operations

EPS GrowthGrowth
-25.30%0/10

Earnings declining -25.30%, profits shrinking

Return on EquityProfitability
1.05%1/10

Very low returns on shareholder equity

Profit MarginProfitability
0.62%2/10

Very thin margins, barely profitable

Revenue GrowthGrowth
6.50%4/10

Modest revenue growth at 6.50%

Market CapQuality
$635M5/10

Small-cap company with higher risk but more growth potential

Supporting Valuation Data

P/E Ratio
158.12
Overvalued
Trailing P/E
158.12
Overvalued

Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. (CVLG) Detailed Analysis Report

Overall Assessment

This company scores 39/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a F grade. Out of 9 metrics analyzed, 3 register as strengths (avg 8.7/10) while 6 fall into concern territory (avg 2.0/10). The category breakdown reveals uneven performance, with some areas requiring attention.

The Bull Case

The strongest argument centers on Price/Sales, Price/Book, Institutional Own.. Valuation metrics including Price/Sales (0.55), Price/Book (1.57) suggest the stock is attractively priced.

The Bear Case

The primary concerns are Operating Margin, EPS Growth, Return on Equity. Growth concerns include Revenue Growth at 6.50%, EPS Growth at -25.30%, which may limit upside. Profitability pressure is visible in Return on Equity at 1.05%, Operating Margin at -2.06%, Profit Margin at 0.62%.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether Operating Margin improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at 1.05% needing improvement to support the investment thesis. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at 6.50% needing to reaccelerate.

Risk Considerations

Based on the metric profile, this is a higher risk investment. There are more areas of concern than strength, warranting a more conservative position size. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.

Bottom Line

Fundamental challenges outweigh strengths at current levels. Operating Margin and EPS Growth are the primary drags. Consider waiting for meaningful improvement before committing capital.

Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.

CVLG Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart

Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue

CVLG's Price-to-Sales ratio of 0.55x trades at a 43% premium to its historical average of 0.38x (68th percentile). The current valuation is 42% below its historical high of 0.94x set in Apr 2015, and 1263% above its historical low of 0.04x in Nov 2008. Over the past 12 months, the PS ratio has compressed from ~0.6x as trailing revenue scaled faster than the stock price.

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WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis

Data-driven financial summary for Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. (CVLG) · INDUSTRIALSTRUCKING

The Big Picture

Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. is a mature, profitable business with steady cash generation. Revenue reached 1.2B with 7% growth year-over-year. Profit margins are strong at 62.0%, reflecting pricing power and operational efficiency.

Key Findings

Excellent Capital Efficiency

ROE of 105.0% means the company generates strong returns on shareholder equity. Above 20% is considered top-tier.

Negative Free Cash Flow

Free cash flow is -93M, meaning the company is burning cash. This may be acceptable for high-growth companies investing heavily.

What to Watch Next

Valuation compression risk at a P/E of 158.1x. Any growth miss could trigger a sharp correction.

Dividend sustainability with a current yield of 111.0%. Watch payout ratio and free cash flow coverage.

Sector dynamics: monitor TRUCKING industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact Covenant Logistics Group, Inc..

Bottom Line

Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. is a well-established business delivering consistent profitability with 62.0% margins. The growth phase may be slowing, but strong cash generation and operational efficiency make it suitable for investors seeking reliability over excitement.

This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Insider Transactions

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About Covenant Logistics Group, Inc.(CVLG)

Exchange

NYSE

Sector

INDUSTRIALS

Industry

TRUCKING

Country

USA

Covenant Logistics Group, Inc., provides transportation and logistics services in the United States. The company is headquartered in Chattanooga, Tennessee.

Visit Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. (CVLG) Website
400 BIRMINGHAM HIGHWAY, CHATTANOOGA, TN, UNITED STATES, 37419