WallStSmart

Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. (CVLG)vsSaia Inc (SAIA)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Saia Inc generates 178% more annual revenue ($3.23B vs $1.16B). SAIA leads profitability with a 7.9% profit margin vs 0.6%. SAIA trades at a lower P/E of 34.7x. SAIA earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 44/100 (D).

CVLG

Hold

39

out of 100

Grade: F

Growth: 3.3Profit: 3.5Value: 3.0Quality: 4.8
Piotroski: 2/9

SAIA

Hold

44

out of 100

Grade: D

Growth: 4.0Profit: 5.5Value: 7.3Quality: 8.0
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 3.95
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

CVLGSignificantly Overvalued (-2584.4%)

Margin of Safety

-2584.4%

Fair Value

$1.09

Current Price

$26.61

$25.52 premium

UndervaluedFair: $1.09Overvalued
SAIASignificantly Overvalued (-500.4%)

Margin of Safety

-500.4%

Fair Value

$64.74

Current Price

$344.36

$279.62 premium

UndervaluedFair: $64.74Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

CVLG1 strengths · Avg: 8.0/10
Price/BookValuation
1.7x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

SAIA2 strengths · Avg: 9.5/10
Altman Z-ScoreHealth
3.9510/10

Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk

Debt/EquityHealth
0.169/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

Areas to Watch

CVLG4 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
Market CapQuality
$634.60M3/10

Smaller company, higher risk/reward

Return on EquityProfitability
1.1%3/10

ROE of 1.1% — below average capital efficiency

Profit MarginProfitability
0.6%3/10

0.6% margin — thin

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
2/93/10

Weak financial health signals

SAIA4 concerns · Avg: 3.8/10
PEG RatioValuation
1.874/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

P/E RatioValuation
34.7x4/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Revenue GrowthGrowth
0.1%4/10

0.1% revenue growth

Profit MarginProfitability
7.9%3/10

7.9% margin — thin

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : CVLG

The strongest argument for CVLG centers on Price/Book.

Bull Case : SAIA

The strongest argument for SAIA centers on Altman Z-Score, Debt/Equity.

Bear Case : CVLG

The primary concerns for CVLG are Market Cap, Return on Equity, Profit Margin. A P/E of 158.1x leaves little room for execution misses. Thin 0.6% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Bear Case : SAIA

The primary concerns for SAIA are PEG Ratio, P/E Ratio, Revenue Growth.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

SAIA carries more volatility with a beta of 2.03 — expect wider price swings.

CVLG is growing revenue faster at 6.5% — sustainability is the question.

SAIA generates stronger free cash flow (37M), providing more financial flexibility.

Monitor TRUCKING industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.

Bottom Line

SAIA scores higher overall (44/100 vs 39/100). Both earn "Hold" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Covenant Logistics Group, Inc.

INDUSTRIALS · TRUCKING · USA

Covenant Logistics Group, Inc., provides transportation and logistics services in the United States. The company is headquartered in Chattanooga, Tennessee.

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Saia Inc

INDUSTRIALS · TRUCKING · USA

Saia, Inc., is a transportation company in North America. The company is headquartered in Johns Creek, Georgia.

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