Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. (CVLG)vsOld Dominion Freight Line Inc (ODFL)
CVLG
Covenant Logistics Group, Inc.
$43.52
+0.69%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $1.09B
ODFL
Old Dominion Freight Line Inc
$245.52
-0.81%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $51.11B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Old Dominion Freight Line Inc generates 354% more annual revenue ($5.46B vs $1.20B). ODFL leads profitability with a 18.5% profit margin vs 0.4%. ODFL trades at a lower P/E of 51.3x. ODFL earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 46/100 (D+).
CVLG
Hold41
out of 100
Grade: D
ODFL
Hold46
out of 100
Grade: D+
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
-41.8%
Fair Value
$20.63
Current Price
$43.52
$22.89 premium
Margin of Safety
-78.2%
Fair Value
$137.89
Current Price
$245.52
$107.63 premium
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Reasonable price relative to book value
Conservative balance sheet, low leverage
Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk
Large-cap with strong market position
Every $100 of equity generates 23 in profit
Strong operational efficiency at 23.8%
Areas to Watch
Grey zone — moderate risk
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
ROE of 1.3% — below average capital efficiency
0.4% margin — thin
Trading at 11.6x book value
Expensive relative to growth rate
Premium valuation, high expectations priced in
Revenue declined 2.9%
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : CVLG
The strongest argument for CVLG centers on Price/Book. Revenue growth of 14.0% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bull Case : ODFL
The strongest argument for ODFL centers on Debt/Equity, Altman Z-Score, Market Cap. Profitability is solid with margins at 18.5% and operating margin at 23.8%.
Bear Case : CVLG
The primary concerns for CVLG are Altman Z-Score, Market Cap, Return on Equity. A P/E of 480.2x leaves little room for execution misses. Thin 0.4% margins leave little buffer for downturns.
Bear Case : ODFL
The primary concerns for ODFL are Price/Book, PEG Ratio, P/E Ratio. A P/E of 51.3x leaves little room for execution misses.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
CVLG profiles as a value stock while ODFL is a declining play — different risk/reward profiles.
CVLG carries more volatility with a beta of 1.32 — expect wider price swings.
CVLG is growing revenue faster at 14.0% — sustainability is the question.
ODFL generates stronger free cash flow (311M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
ODFL scores higher overall (46/100 vs 41/100), backed by strong 18.5% margins. Both earn "Hold" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Covenant Logistics Group, Inc.
INDUSTRIALS · TRUCKING · USA
Covenant Logistics Group, Inc., provides transportation and logistics services in the United States. The company is headquartered in Chattanooga, Tennessee.
Visit Website →Old Dominion Freight Line Inc
INDUSTRIALS · TRUCKING · USA
Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. is an American less than truckload shipping (LTL) company. It offers regional, inter-regional and national LTL service. In addition to its core LTL services, the company offers logistics services including ground and air expedited transportation, supply chain consulting, transportation management, truckload brokerage, container delivery and warehousing, as well as household moving services.
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