Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. (CVLG)vsXPO Logistics Inc (XPO)
CVLG
Covenant Logistics Group, Inc.
$33.47
+8.25%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $784.68M
XPO
XPO Logistics Inc
$191.72
+1.13%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $21.27B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
XPO Logistics Inc generates 565% more annual revenue ($8.57B vs $1.29B). XPO leads profitability with a 4.7% profit margin vs 0.4%. XPO trades at a lower P/E of 53.4x. XPO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 61/100 (C+).
CVLG
Hold50
out of 100
Grade: D+
XPO
Buy61
out of 100
Grade: C+
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
-27.2%
Fair Value
$23.01
Current Price
$33.47
$10.46 premium
Margin of Safety
-19.0%
Fair Value
$169.58
Current Price
$191.72
$22.14 premium
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Reasonable price relative to book value
19.2% revenue growth
Earnings expanding 52.8% YoY
Every $100 of equity generates 21 in profit
Areas to Watch
Grey zone — moderate risk
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
ROE of 0.9% — below average capital efficiency
0.4% margin — thin
Expensive relative to growth rate
Trading at 11.4x book value
Distress zone — elevated risk
4.7% margin — thin
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : CVLG
The strongest argument for CVLG centers on Price/Book, Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 19.2% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bull Case : XPO
The strongest argument for XPO centers on EPS Growth, Return on Equity. Revenue growth of 13.2% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : CVLG
The primary concerns for CVLG are Altman Z-Score, Market Cap, Return on Equity. A P/E of 193.3x leaves little room for execution misses. Thin 0.4% margins leave little buffer for downturns.
Bear Case : XPO
The primary concerns for XPO are PEG Ratio, Price/Book, Altman Z-Score. A P/E of 53.4x leaves little room for execution misses. Debt-to-equity of 2.03 is elevated, increasing financial risk.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
CVLG profiles as a growth stock while XPO is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.
XPO carries more volatility with a beta of 1.71 — expect wider price swings.
CVLG is growing revenue faster at 19.2% — sustainability is the question.
XPO generates stronger free cash flow (181M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
XPO scores higher overall (61/100 vs 50/100) and 13.2% revenue growth. Both earn "Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Covenant Logistics Group, Inc.
INDUSTRIALS · TRUCKING · USA
Covenant Logistics Group, Inc., provides transportation and logistics services in the United States. The company is headquartered in Chattanooga, Tennessee.
Visit Website →XPO Logistics Inc
INDUSTRIALS · TRUCKING · USA
XPO Logistics, Inc. provides supply chain solutions in the United States, the rest of North America, France, the United Kingdom, the rest of Europe, and internationally. The company is headquartered in Greenwich, Connecticut.
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