WallStSmart

The Mosaic Company (MOS)vsScotts Miracle-Gro Company (SMG)

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Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

The Mosaic Company generates 262% more annual revenue ($11.90B vs $3.29B). SMG leads profitability with a 3.2% profit margin vs -9.4%. SMG appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.92. MOS earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 52/100 (C-).

MOS

Buy

52

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 4.7Profit: 2.5Value: 6.3Quality: 6.5
Piotroski: 6/9Altman Z: 2.16

SMG

Hold

41

out of 100

Grade: D

Growth: 2.0Profit: 5.0Value: 5.3Quality: 5.8
Piotroski: 2/9
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

MOSUndervalued (+51.3%)

Margin of Safety

+51.3%

Fair Value

$63.96

Current Price

$21.76

$42.20 discount

UndervaluedFair: $63.96Overvalued
SMGSignificantly Overvalued (-24.8%)

Margin of Safety

-24.8%

Fair Value

$53.85

Current Price

$63.74

$9.89 premium

UndervaluedFair: $53.85Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

MOS2 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Price/BookValuation
0.6x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

EPS GrowthGrowth
239.5%10/10

Earnings expanding 239.5% YoY

SMG2 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
Debt/EquityHealth
-5.4410/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

PEG RatioValuation
0.928/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

Areas to Watch

MOS4 concerns · Avg: 2.5/10
PEG RatioValuation
2.424/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Return on EquityProfitability
6.2%3/10

ROE of 6.2% — below average capital efficiency

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-10.2%2/10

Revenue declined 10.2%

Profit MarginProfitability
-9.4%1/10

Currently unprofitable

SMG4 concerns · Avg: 2.5/10
Profit MarginProfitability
3.2%3/10

3.2% margin — thin

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
2/93/10

Weak financial health signals

Return on EquityProfitability
-47.6%2/10

ROE of -47.6% — below average capital efficiency

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-21.8%2/10

Revenue declined 21.8%

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : MOS

The strongest argument for MOS centers on Price/Book, EPS Growth.

Bull Case : SMG

The strongest argument for SMG centers on Debt/Equity, PEG Ratio. PEG of 0.92 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : MOS

The primary concerns for MOS are PEG Ratio, Return on Equity, Revenue Growth.

Bear Case : SMG

The primary concerns for SMG are Profit Margin, Piotroski F-Score, Return on Equity. Thin 3.2% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

MOS profiles as a turnaround stock while SMG is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.

SMG carries more volatility with a beta of 1.85 — expect wider price swings.

MOS is growing revenue faster at -10.2% — sustainability is the question.

SMG generates stronger free cash flow (146M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

MOS scores higher overall (52/100 vs 41/100). Both earn "Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

The Mosaic Company

BASIC MATERIALS · AGRICULTURAL INPUTS · USA

The Mosaic Company is a Fortune 500 company based in Tampa, Florida which mines phosphate and potash, and operates through segments such as international distribution and Mosaic Fertilizantes.

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Scotts Miracle-Gro Company

BASIC MATERIALS · AGRICULTURAL INPUTS · USA

Scotts Miracle-Gro Company manufactures, markets, and sells lawn and garden products to consumers in the United States and internationally. The company is headquartered in Marysville, Ohio.

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