CF Industries Holdings Inc (CF)vsScotts Miracle-Gro Company (SMG)
CF
CF Industries Holdings Inc
$123.24
+1.36%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $17.90B
SMG
Scotts Miracle-Gro Company
$63.74
-2.00%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $3.79B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
CF Industries Holdings Inc generates 141% more annual revenue ($7.94B vs $3.29B). CF leads profitability with a 27.5% profit margin vs 3.2%. CF appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.51. CF earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 83/100 (A-).
CF
Exceptional Buy83
out of 100
Grade: A-
SMG
Hold41
out of 100
Grade: D
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+48.4%
Fair Value
$238.91
Current Price
$123.24
$115.67 discount
Margin of Safety
-24.8%
Fair Value
$53.85
Current Price
$63.74
$9.89 premium
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Every $100 of equity generates 38 in profit
Strong operational efficiency at 34.4%
Keeps 28 of every $100 in revenue as profit
Growing faster than its price suggests
Earnings expanding 31.1% YoY
Conservative balance sheet, low leverage
Growing faster than its price suggests
Areas to Watch
No major concerns identified
3.2% margin — thin
Weak financial health signals
ROE of -47.6% — below average capital efficiency
Revenue declined 21.8%
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : CF
The strongest argument for CF centers on P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, Operating Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 27.5% and operating margin at 34.4%. Revenue growth of 12.1% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bull Case : SMG
The strongest argument for SMG centers on Debt/Equity, PEG Ratio. PEG of 0.92 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bear Case : CF
No major red flags identified for CF, but monitor valuation.
Bear Case : SMG
The primary concerns for SMG are Profit Margin, Piotroski F-Score, Return on Equity. Thin 3.2% margins leave little buffer for downturns.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
CF profiles as a mature stock while SMG is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.
SMG carries more volatility with a beta of 1.85 — expect wider price swings.
CF is growing revenue faster at 12.1% — sustainability is the question.
CF generates stronger free cash flow (888M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
CF scores higher overall (83/100 vs 41/100), backed by strong 27.5% margins and 12.1% revenue growth. Both earn "Exceptional Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
CF Industries Holdings Inc
BASIC MATERIALS · AGRICULTURAL INPUTS · USA
CF Industries Holdings, Inc. is a North American manufacturer and distributor of agricultural fertilizers, based in Deerfield, Illinois.
Visit Website →Scotts Miracle-Gro Company
BASIC MATERIALS · AGRICULTURAL INPUTS · USA
Scotts Miracle-Gro Company manufactures, markets, and sells lawn and garden products to consumers in the United States and internationally. The company is headquartered in Marysville, Ohio.
Visit Website →Compare with Other AGRICULTURAL INPUTS Stocks
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