CF Industries Holdings Inc (CF)vsScotts Miracle-Gro Company (SMG)
CF
CF Industries Holdings Inc
$125.54
-0.94%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $19.23B
SMG
Scotts Miracle-Gro Company
$64.33
-0.22%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $3.61B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
CF Industries Holdings Inc generates 108% more annual revenue ($7.08B vs $3.40B). CF leads profitability with a 20.5% profit margin vs 2.6%. SMG appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.72. CF earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 76/100 (B+).
CF
Strong Buy76
out of 100
Grade: B+
SMG
Hold43
out of 100
Grade: D
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+77.1%
Fair Value
$423.07
Current Price
$125.54
$297.53 discount
Margin of Safety
+3.8%
Fair Value
$69.86
Current Price
$64.33
$5.53 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Strong operational efficiency at 35.3%
Every $100 of equity generates 23 in profit
Keeps 21 of every $100 in revenue as profit
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Revenue surging 22.8% year-over-year
Earnings expanding 37.1% YoY
Conservative balance sheet, low leverage
Growing faster than its price suggests
Areas to Watch
Expensive relative to growth rate
Grey zone — moderate risk
2.6% margin — thin
ROE of -47.6% — below average capital efficiency
Revenue declined 3.3%
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : CF
The strongest argument for CF centers on Operating Margin, Return on Equity, Profit Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 20.5% and operating margin at 35.3%. Revenue growth of 22.8% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bull Case : SMG
The strongest argument for SMG centers on Debt/Equity, PEG Ratio. PEG of 0.72 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bear Case : CF
The primary concerns for CF are PEG Ratio.
Bear Case : SMG
The primary concerns for SMG are Altman Z-Score, Profit Margin, Return on Equity. Thin 2.6% margins leave little buffer for downturns.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
CF profiles as a growth stock while SMG is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.
SMG carries more volatility with a beta of 1.92 — expect wider price swings.
CF is growing revenue faster at 22.8% — sustainability is the question.
CF generates stronger free cash flow (313M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
CF scores higher overall (76/100 vs 43/100), backed by strong 20.5% margins and 22.8% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
CF Industries Holdings Inc
BASIC MATERIALS · AGRICULTURAL INPUTS · USA
CF Industries Holdings, Inc. is a North American manufacturer and distributor of agricultural fertilizers, based in Deerfield, Illinois.
Visit Website →Scotts Miracle-Gro Company
BASIC MATERIALS · AGRICULTURAL INPUTS · USA
Scotts Miracle-Gro Company manufactures, markets, and sells lawn and garden products to consumers in the United States and internationally. The company is headquartered in Marysville, Ohio.
Visit Website →Compare with Other AGRICULTURAL INPUTS Stocks
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