WallStSmart

Nutrien Ltd (NTR)vsScotts Miracle-Gro Company (SMG)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Nutrien Ltd generates 674% more annual revenue ($26.88B vs $3.47B). NTR leads profitability with a 8.9% profit margin vs 3.2%. SMG appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.85. NTR earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 67/100 (B-).

NTR

Strong Buy

67

out of 100

Grade: B-

Growth: 6.7Profit: 6.0Value: 5.3Quality: 6.0
Piotroski: 6/9Altman Z: 1.73

SMG

Buy

53

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 4.7Profit: 6.0Value: 6.0Quality: 6.5
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 1.90
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

NTRSignificantly Overvalued (-31.4%)

Margin of Safety

-31.4%

Fair Value

$55.61

Current Price

$67.20

$11.59 premium

UndervaluedFair: $55.61Overvalued
SMGSignificantly Overvalued (-17.6%)

Margin of Safety

-17.6%

Fair Value

$57.14

Current Price

$57.67

$0.53 premium

UndervaluedFair: $57.14Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

NTR4 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
Price/BookValuation
1.3x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

EPS GrowthGrowth
1250.0%10/10

Earnings expanding 1250.0% YoY

P/E RatioValuation
13.7x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Revenue GrowthGrowth
19.0%8/10

19.0% revenue growth

SMG4 strengths · Avg: 8.5/10
Debt/EquityHealth
-8.1910/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

PEG RatioValuation
0.858/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

P/E RatioValuation
17.7x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Operating MarginProfitability
27.7%8/10

Strong operational efficiency at 27.7%

Areas to Watch

NTR2 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.734/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

Free Cash FlowQuality
$-1.13B2/10

Negative free cash flow — burning cash

SMG3 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.904/10

Grey zone — moderate risk

Profit MarginProfitability
3.2%3/10

3.2% margin — thin

Return on EquityProfitability
-47.6%2/10

ROE of -47.6% — below average capital efficiency

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : NTR

The strongest argument for NTR centers on Price/Book, EPS Growth, P/E Ratio. Revenue growth of 19.0% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.21 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bull Case : SMG

The strongest argument for SMG centers on Debt/Equity, PEG Ratio, P/E Ratio. PEG of 0.85 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : NTR

The primary concerns for NTR are Altman Z-Score, Free Cash Flow.

Bear Case : SMG

The primary concerns for SMG are Altman Z-Score, Profit Margin, Return on Equity. Thin 3.2% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

NTR profiles as a growth stock while SMG is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.

SMG carries more volatility with a beta of 1.83 — expect wider price swings.

NTR is growing revenue faster at 19.0% — sustainability is the question.

SMG generates stronger free cash flow (201M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

NTR scores higher overall (67/100 vs 53/100) and 19.0% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Nutrien Ltd

BASIC MATERIALS · AGRICULTURAL INPUTS · USA

Nutrien Ltd. provides inputs, services and solutions for crops. The company is headquartered in Saskatoon, Canada.

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Scotts Miracle-Gro Company

BASIC MATERIALS · AGRICULTURAL INPUTS · USA

Scotts Miracle-Gro Company manufactures, markets, and sells lawn and garden products to consumers in the United States and internationally. The company is headquartered in Marysville, Ohio.

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