WallStSmart

FedEx Corporation (FDX)vsZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

FedEx Corporation generates 90% more annual revenue ($90.09B vs $47.51B). ZTO leads profitability with a 18.6% profit margin vs 4.8%. FDX appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.29. ZTO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 66/100 (B-).

FDX

Buy

59

out of 100

Grade: C

Growth: 3.3Profit: 6.0Value: 7.3Quality: 6.5
Piotroski: 3/9Altman Z: 2.22

ZTO

Strong Buy

66

out of 100

Grade: B-

Growth: 6.7Profit: 7.0Value: 8.7Quality: 7.0
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 2.80
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

FDXSignificantly Overvalued (-198.7%)

Margin of Safety

-198.7%

Fair Value

$122.94

Current Price

$358.85

$235.91 premium

UndervaluedFair: $122.94Overvalued
ZTOUndervalued (+11.1%)

Margin of Safety

+11.1%

Fair Value

$28.01

Current Price

$24.46

$3.55 discount

UndervaluedFair: $28.01Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

FDX3 strengths · Avg: 8.3/10
Market CapQuality
$83.14B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Price/BookValuation
3.0x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Free Cash FlowQuality
$1.19B8/10

Generating 1.2B in free cash flow

ZTO5 strengths · Avg: 8.2/10
Debt/EquityHealth
0.199/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

P/E RatioValuation
15.2x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Price/BookValuation
2.1x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Operating MarginProfitability
20.3%8/10

Strong operational efficiency at 20.3%

Free Cash FlowQuality
$7.74B8/10

Generating 7.7B in free cash flow

Areas to Watch

FDX4 concerns · Avg: 2.8/10
Profit MarginProfitability
4.8%3/10

4.8% margin — thin

Debt/EquityHealth
1.343/10

Elevated debt levels

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
3/93/10

Weak financial health signals

EPS GrowthGrowth
-13.3%2/10

Earnings declined 13.3%

ZTO1 concerns · Avg: 4.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
2.154/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : FDX

The strongest argument for FDX centers on Market Cap, Price/Book, Free Cash Flow. Revenue growth of 13.9% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.29 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bull Case : ZTO

The strongest argument for ZTO centers on Debt/Equity, P/E Ratio, Price/Book. Profitability is solid with margins at 18.6% and operating margin at 20.3%. Revenue growth of 11.1% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : FDX

The primary concerns for FDX are Profit Margin, Debt/Equity, Piotroski F-Score. Thin 4.8% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Bear Case : ZTO

The primary concerns for ZTO are PEG Ratio.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

FDX profiles as a value stock while ZTO is a mature play — different risk/reward profiles.

FDX carries more volatility with a beta of 1.28 — expect wider price swings.

FDX is growing revenue faster at 13.9% — sustainability is the question.

ZTO generates stronger free cash flow (7.7B), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

ZTO scores higher overall (66/100 vs 59/100), backed by strong 18.6% margins and 11.1% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

FedEx Corporation

INDUSTRIALS · INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS · USA

FedEx Corporation, formerly Federal Express Corporation and later FDX Corporation, is an American multinational delivery services company headquartered in Memphis, Tennessee.

Visit Website →

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc

INDUSTRIALS · INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS · China

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. provides express delivery and other value-added logistics services in the People's Republic of China. The company is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.

Visit Website →

Want to dig deeper into these stocks?