FedEx Corporation (FDX)vsZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO)
FDX
FedEx Corporation
$357.80
-9.11%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $93.93B
ZTO
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc
$25.14
-1.76%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $19.28B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
FedEx Corporation generates 87% more annual revenue ($91.93B vs $49.10B). ZTO leads profitability with a 18.5% profit margin vs 4.9%. ZTO appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.27. ZTO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 72/100 (B).
FDX
Buy58
out of 100
Grade: C
ZTO
Strong Buy72
out of 100
Grade: B
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+11.2%
Fair Value
$413.51
Current Price
$357.80
$55.71 discount
Margin of Safety
+81.1%
Fair Value
$131.93
Current Price
$25.14
$106.79 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Large-cap with strong market position
Reasonable price relative to book value
Generating 1.0B in free cash flow
Generating 12.0B in free cash flow
Conservative balance sheet, low leverage
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Reasonable price relative to book value
Strong operational efficiency at 22.3%
Areas to Watch
4.9% margin — thin
Elevated debt levels
Weak financial health signals
No major concerns identified
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : FDX
The strongest argument for FDX centers on Market Cap, Price/Book, Free Cash Flow. PEG of 1.39 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bull Case : ZTO
The strongest argument for ZTO centers on Free Cash Flow, Debt/Equity, P/E Ratio. Profitability is solid with margins at 18.5% and operating margin at 22.3%. Revenue growth of 12.3% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : FDX
The primary concerns for FDX are Profit Margin, Debt/Equity, Piotroski F-Score. Thin 4.9% margins leave little buffer for downturns.
Bear Case : ZTO
No major red flags identified for ZTO, but monitor valuation.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
FDX profiles as a value stock while ZTO is a mature play — different risk/reward profiles.
FDX carries more volatility with a beta of 1.30 — expect wider price swings.
ZTO is growing revenue faster at 12.3% — sustainability is the question.
ZTO generates stronger free cash flow (12.0B), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
ZTO scores higher overall (72/100 vs 58/100), backed by strong 18.5% margins and 12.3% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
FedEx Corporation
INDUSTRIALS · INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS · USA
FedEx Corporation, formerly Federal Express Corporation and later FDX Corporation, is an American multinational delivery services company headquartered in Memphis, Tennessee.
Visit Website →ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc
INDUSTRIALS · INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS · China
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. provides express delivery and other value-added logistics services in the People's Republic of China. The company is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.
Visit Website →Compare with Other INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS Stocks
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