WallStSmart

Ardagh Metal Packaging SA (AMBP)vsAmcor PLC (AMCR)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Amcor PLC generates 270% more annual revenue ($22.19B vs $5.99B). AMCR leads profitability with a 3.1% profit margin vs 0.7%. AMCR trades at a lower P/E of 36.2x. AMCR earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 64/100 (C+).

AMBP

Hold

43

out of 100

Grade: D

Growth: 8.0Profit: 4.5Value: 3.7Quality: 5.5
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 0.88

AMCR

Buy

64

out of 100

Grade: C+

Growth: 5.3Profit: 5.0Value: 5.7Quality: 3.8
Piotroski: 2/9Altman Z: 0.84
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

AMBPOvervalued (-12.7%)

Margin of Safety

-12.7%

Fair Value

$4.34

Current Price

$4.95

$0.61 premium

UndervaluedFair: $4.34Overvalued

Intrinsic value data unavailable for AMCR.

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

AMBP3 strengths · Avg: 9.3/10
EPS GrowthGrowth
75.0%10/10

Earnings expanding 75.0% YoY

Debt/EquityHealth
-6.4210/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

Revenue GrowthGrowth
17.7%8/10

17.7% revenue growth

AMCR3 strengths · Avg: 8.7/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
77.4%10/10

Revenue surging 77.4% year-over-year

PEG RatioValuation
0.628/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

Price/BookValuation
1.9x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Areas to Watch

AMBP4 concerns · Avg: 2.3/10
Profit MarginProfitability
0.7%3/10

0.7% margin — thin

P/E RatioValuation
94.6x2/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Return on EquityProfitability
-63.6%2/10

ROE of -63.6% — below average capital efficiency

Free Cash FlowQuality
$-405.00M2/10

Negative free cash flow — burning cash

AMCR4 concerns · Avg: 3.3/10
P/E RatioValuation
36.2x4/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Return on EquityProfitability
6.7%3/10

ROE of 6.7% — below average capital efficiency

Profit MarginProfitability
3.1%3/10

3.1% margin — thin

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
2/93/10

Weak financial health signals

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : AMBP

The strongest argument for AMBP centers on EPS Growth, Debt/Equity, Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 17.7% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : AMCR

The strongest argument for AMCR centers on Revenue Growth, PEG Ratio, Price/Book. Revenue growth of 77.4% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 0.62 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : AMBP

The primary concerns for AMBP are Profit Margin, P/E Ratio, Return on Equity. A P/E of 94.6x leaves little room for execution misses. Thin 0.7% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Bear Case : AMCR

The primary concerns for AMCR are P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, Profit Margin. Thin 3.1% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

AMBP profiles as a growth stock while AMCR is a hypergrowth play — different risk/reward profiles.

AMCR carries more volatility with a beta of 0.61 — expect wider price swings.

AMCR is growing revenue faster at 77.4% — sustainability is the question.

AMCR generates stronger free cash flow (-42M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

AMCR scores higher overall (64/100 vs 43/100) and 77.4% revenue growth. Both earn "Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Ardagh Metal Packaging SA

CONSUMER CYCLICAL · PACKAGING & CONTAINERS · USA

Ardagh Metal Packaging SA (AMBP) is a leading global provider of sustainable metal packaging solutions, primarily for the beverage, food, and personal care industries. Leveraging an extensive network of state-of-the-art manufacturing facilities, the company is dedicated to producing innovative and high-quality packaging that meets the evolving needs of its diverse clientele. Ardagh's strong focus on sustainability and commitment to circular economy principles not only enhance its market position but also reflect a growing trend among consumers and businesses towards environmentally responsible practices, presenting significant growth potential and compelling investment opportunities for institutional investors.

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Amcor PLC

CONSUMER CYCLICAL · PACKAGING & CONTAINERS · USA

Amcor plc is an Australian-American, UK-domiciled packaging company. It develops and produces flexible packaging, rigid containers, specialty cartons, closures and services for food, beverage, pharmaceutical, medical-device, home and personal-care, and other products.

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