WallStSmart

Ardagh Metal Packaging SA (AMBP)vsAmcor PLC (AMCR)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Amcor PLC generates 257% more annual revenue ($19.61B vs $5.50B). AMBP leads profitability with a 20.0% profit margin vs 3.0%. AMCR earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 64/100 (C+).

AMBP

Hold

42

out of 100

Grade: D

Growth: 7.3Profit: 5.0Value: 5.0Quality: 6.0
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 1.02

AMCR

Buy

64

out of 100

Grade: C+

Growth: 7.3Profit: 5.0Value: 7.3Quality: 5.0
Piotroski: 2/9Altman Z: 0.84
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

Intrinsic value data unavailable for AMBP.

AMCRSignificantly Overvalued (-454.1%)

Margin of Safety

-454.1%

Fair Value

$9.04

Current Price

$40.55

$31.51 premium

UndervaluedFair: $9.04Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

AMBP3 strengths · Avg: 9.7/10
EPS GrowthGrowth
75.0%10/10

Earnings expanding 75.0% YoY

Debt/EquityHealth
-11.9710/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

Profit MarginProfitability
20.0%9/10

Keeps 20 of every $100 in revenue as profit

AMCR3 strengths · Avg: 9.3/10
PEG RatioValuation
0.4710/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

Revenue GrowthGrowth
68.1%10/10

Revenue surging 68.1% year-over-year

Price/BookValuation
1.6x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Areas to Watch

AMBP3 concerns · Avg: 2.3/10
Operating MarginProfitability
3.3%3/10

Operating margin of 3.3%

Return on EquityProfitability
-63.6%2/10

ROE of -63.6% — below average capital efficiency

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.022/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

AMCR4 concerns · Avg: 3.3/10
P/E RatioValuation
29.4x4/10

Moderate valuation

Return on EquityProfitability
7.7%3/10

ROE of 7.7% — below average capital efficiency

Profit MarginProfitability
3.0%3/10

3.0% margin — thin

Debt/EquityHealth
1.453/10

Elevated debt levels

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : AMBP

The strongest argument for AMBP centers on EPS Growth, Debt/Equity, Profit Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 20.0% and operating margin at 3.3%. Revenue growth of 12.6% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : AMCR

The strongest argument for AMCR centers on PEG Ratio, Revenue Growth, Price/Book. Revenue growth of 68.1% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 0.47 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : AMBP

The primary concerns for AMBP are Operating Margin, Return on Equity, Altman Z-Score.

Bear Case : AMCR

The primary concerns for AMCR are P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, Profit Margin. Thin 3.0% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

AMBP profiles as a mature stock while AMCR is a hypergrowth play — different risk/reward profiles.

AMCR carries more volatility with a beta of 0.64 — expect wider price swings.

AMCR is growing revenue faster at 68.1% — sustainability is the question.

AMCR generates stronger free cash flow (416M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

AMCR scores higher overall (64/100 vs 42/100) and 68.1% revenue growth. Both earn "Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Ardagh Metal Packaging SA

CONSUMER CYCLICAL · PACKAGING & CONTAINERS · USA

Ardagh Metal Packaging SA (AMBP) is a leading global provider of sustainable metal packaging solutions, specializing in innovative designs for the beverage, food, and personal care industries. With a strategic network of production facilities across the globe, the company combines advanced manufacturing processes with a commitment to rapid responsiveness, ensuring high-quality products that meet a wide array of customer needs. Ardagh's strong focus on sustainability and adherence to circular economy principles uniquely positions it to benefit from the growing demand for eco-friendly packaging solutions, thereby presenting compelling growth opportunities and value creation for institutional investors.

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Amcor PLC

CONSUMER CYCLICAL · PACKAGING & CONTAINERS · USA

Amcor plc is an Australian-American, UK-domiciled packaging company. It develops and produces flexible packaging, rigid containers, specialty cartons, closures and services for food, beverage, pharmaceutical, medical-device, home and personal-care, and other products.

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