WallStSmart

Ardagh Metal Packaging SA (AMBP)vsAmcor PLC (AMCR)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Amcor PLC generates 287% more annual revenue ($22.19B vs $5.73B). AMCR leads profitability with a 3.1% profit margin vs 0.2%. AMCR earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 64/100 (C+).

AMBP

Hold

42

out of 100

Grade: D

Growth: 8.0Profit: 4.0Value: 4.0Quality: 5.5
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 0.88

AMCR

Buy

64

out of 100

Grade: C+

Growth: 5.3Profit: 5.0Value: 5.7Quality: 3.8
Piotroski: 2/9Altman Z: 0.84
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

AMBPSignificantly Overvalued (-16.7%)

Margin of Safety

-16.7%

Fair Value

$4.19

Current Price

$3.94

$0.25 premium

UndervaluedFair: $4.19Overvalued

Intrinsic value data unavailable for AMCR.

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

AMBP3 strengths · Avg: 9.3/10
EPS GrowthGrowth
75.0%10/10

Earnings expanding 75.0% YoY

Debt/EquityHealth
-6.4210/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

Revenue GrowthGrowth
18.6%8/10

18.6% revenue growth

AMCR3 strengths · Avg: 8.7/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
77.4%10/10

Revenue surging 77.4% year-over-year

PEG RatioValuation
0.568/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

Price/BookValuation
1.5x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Areas to Watch

AMBP4 concerns · Avg: 2.5/10
Profit MarginProfitability
0.2%3/10

0.2% margin — thin

Operating MarginProfitability
3.9%3/10

Operating margin of 3.9%

Return on EquityProfitability
-63.6%2/10

ROE of -63.6% — below average capital efficiency

Free Cash FlowQuality
$-405.00M2/10

Negative free cash flow — burning cash

AMCR4 concerns · Avg: 3.3/10
P/E RatioValuation
32.5x4/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Return on EquityProfitability
6.7%3/10

ROE of 6.7% — below average capital efficiency

Profit MarginProfitability
3.1%3/10

3.1% margin — thin

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
2/93/10

Weak financial health signals

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : AMBP

The strongest argument for AMBP centers on EPS Growth, Debt/Equity, Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 18.6% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : AMCR

The strongest argument for AMCR centers on Revenue Growth, PEG Ratio, Price/Book. Revenue growth of 77.4% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 0.56 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : AMBP

The primary concerns for AMBP are Profit Margin, Operating Margin, Return on Equity. Thin 0.2% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Bear Case : AMCR

The primary concerns for AMCR are P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, Profit Margin. Thin 3.1% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

AMBP profiles as a growth stock while AMCR is a hypergrowth play — different risk/reward profiles.

AMCR carries more volatility with a beta of 0.64 — expect wider price swings.

AMCR is growing revenue faster at 77.4% — sustainability is the question.

AMCR generates stronger free cash flow (-42M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

AMCR scores higher overall (64/100 vs 42/100) and 77.4% revenue growth. Both earn "Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Ardagh Metal Packaging SA

CONSUMER CYCLICAL · PACKAGING & CONTAINERS · USA

Ardagh Metal Packaging SA (AMBP) is a prominent global leader in sustainable metal packaging solutions serving the beverage, food, and personal care sectors. With an extensive network of manufacturing facilities worldwide, the company utilizes cutting-edge production technologies to produce high-quality, innovative packaging that caters to diverse market demands. Ardagh's unwavering commitment to sustainability and adherence to circular economy principles position it advantageously in a marketplace increasingly driven by environmental considerations, signaling considerable growth potential and attractive value propositions for institutional investors.

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Amcor PLC

CONSUMER CYCLICAL · PACKAGING & CONTAINERS · USA

Amcor plc is an Australian-American, UK-domiciled packaging company. It develops and produces flexible packaging, rigid containers, specialty cartons, closures and services for food, beverage, pharmaceutical, medical-device, home and personal-care, and other products.

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