Ardagh Metal Packaging SA (AMBP) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target
Ardagh Metal Packaging SA stock (AMBP) is currently trading at $4.25. Ardagh Metal Packaging SA PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 0.46. Analyst consensus price target for AMBP is $4.78. WallStSmart rates AMBP as Sell.
- AMBP PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
- AMBP PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
- AMBP intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
- AMBP stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
- AMBP fair value vs current price
- AMBP insider transactions and insider buying
- Is AMBP undervalued or overvalued?
- Ardagh Metal Packaging SA financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
- AMBP Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
- AMBP analyst price target and Smart Rating
Ardagh Metal Packaging SA
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Smart Analysis
Ardagh Metal Packaging SA (AMBP) · 9 metrics scored
Smart Score
Category Performance
WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.
Investment Thesis
Strong fundamentals in price/sales, eps growth. Concerns around return on equity and operating margin. Mixed signals suggest waiting for clearer direction before acting.
Ardagh Metal Packaging SA (AMBP) Key Strengths (3)
Paying less than $1 for every $1 of annual revenue
Earnings per share surging 75.00% year-over-year
Mid-cap company balancing growth potential with stability
Supporting Valuation Data
Ardagh Metal Packaging SA (AMBP) Areas to Watch (6)
Company is destroying shareholder value
Near-zero operating margins, business under pressure
Very expensive at 94.3x book value
Very thin margins, barely profitable
Low institutional interest, mostly retail-driven
Solid revenue growth at 12.60% per year
Ardagh Metal Packaging SA (AMBP) Detailed Analysis Report
Overall Assessment
This company scores 42/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a D grade. Out of 9 metrics analyzed, 3 register as strengths (avg 9.0/10) while 6 fall into concern territory (avg 2.5/10). The category breakdown reveals uneven performance, with some areas requiring attention.
The Bull Case
The strongest argument centers on Price/Sales, EPS Growth, Market Cap. Valuation metrics including Price/Sales (0.46) suggest the stock is attractively priced. Growth metrics are encouraging with EPS Growth at 75.00%.
The Bear Case
The primary concerns are Return on Equity, Operating Margin, Price/Book. Some valuation metrics including Price/Book (94.32) suggest expensive pricing. Growth concerns include Revenue Growth at 12.60%, which may limit upside. Profitability pressure is visible in Return on Equity at -63.60%, Operating Margin at 3.34%, Profit Margin at 0.20%.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether Return on Equity improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at -63.60% needing improvement to support the investment thesis. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at 12.60% needing to reaccelerate.
Risk Considerations
Based on the metric profile, this is a higher risk investment. There are more areas of concern than strength, warranting a more conservative position size. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.
Bottom Line
Fundamental challenges outweigh strengths at current levels. Return on Equity and Operating Margin are the primary drags. Consider waiting for meaningful improvement before committing capital.
Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.
AMBP Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart
Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue
AMBP's Price-to-Sales ratio of 0.46x trades 30% below its historical average of 0.66x (35th percentile). The current valuation is 76% below its historical high of 1.89x set in Aug 2021, and 36% above its historical low of 0.34x in Jan 2025. Over the past 12 months, the PS ratio has expanded from ~0.4x, reflecting growing market expectations outpacing revenue growth.
Compare AMBP with Competitors
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Data-driven financial summary for Ardagh Metal Packaging SA (AMBP) · CONSUMER CYCLICAL › PACKAGING & CONTAINERS
The Big Picture
Ardagh Metal Packaging SA operates as a stable business with moderate growth and solid fundamentals. Revenue reached 5.5B with 13% growth year-over-year. Profit margins are thin at 0.2%, typical for companies in this phase that are reinvesting heavily in growth.
Key Findings
Generating 315M in free cash flow and 368M in operating cash flow. Earnings are translating into actual cash generation.
Debt-to-equity ratio of -11.97 indicates a conservative balance sheet with 317M in cash.
What to Watch Next
Margin expansion: can Ardagh Metal Packaging SA push profit margins above 15% as the business scales?
Dividend sustainability with a current yield of 9.6%. Watch payout ratio and free cash flow coverage.
Debt management: total debt of 4.1B is significantly higher than cash (317M). Monitor refinancing risk.
Sector dynamics: monitor PACKAGING & CONTAINERS industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact Ardagh Metal Packaging SA.
Bottom Line
Ardagh Metal Packaging SA offers stability with moderate growth and solid fundamentals. The valuation may present an opportunity for patient investors, though limited growth means returns will likely come from dividends and modest capital appreciation rather than explosive gains.
This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Insider Transactions
Data sourced from SEC Form 4 filings
Last updated: 11:29:06 AM
About Ardagh Metal Packaging SA(AMBP)
NYSE
CONSUMER CYCLICAL
PACKAGING & CONTAINERS
USA
Ardagh Metal Packaging SA (AMBP) is a leading global provider of sustainable metal packaging solutions, specializing in innovative designs for the beverage, food, and personal care industries. With a strategic network of production facilities across the globe, the company combines advanced manufacturing processes with a commitment to rapid responsiveness, ensuring high-quality products that meet a wide array of customer needs. Ardagh's strong focus on sustainability and adherence to circular economy principles uniquely positions it to benefit from the growing demand for eco-friendly packaging solutions, thereby presenting compelling growth opportunities and value creation for institutional investors.