WallStSmart

Ardagh Metal Packaging SA (AMBP)vsInternational Paper (IP)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

International Paper generates 325% more annual revenue ($24.34B vs $5.73B). AMBP leads profitability with a 0.2% profit margin vs -13.8%. IP earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 50/100 (D+).

AMBP

Hold

42

out of 100

Grade: D

Growth: 8.0Profit: 4.0Value: 4.0Quality: 5.5
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 0.88

IP

Hold

50

out of 100

Grade: D+

Growth: 4.7Profit: 3.0Value: 3.7Quality: 4.5
Piotroski: 2/9Altman Z: 1.03
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

AMBPSignificantly Overvalued (-16.7%)

Margin of Safety

-16.7%

Fair Value

$4.19

Current Price

$3.94

$0.25 premium

UndervaluedFair: $4.19Overvalued
IPSignificantly Overvalued (-73.0%)

Margin of Safety

-73.0%

Fair Value

$28.43

Current Price

$33.61

$5.18 premium

UndervaluedFair: $28.43Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

AMBP3 strengths · Avg: 9.3/10
EPS GrowthGrowth
75.0%10/10

Earnings expanding 75.0% YoY

Debt/EquityHealth
-6.4210/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

Revenue GrowthGrowth
18.6%8/10

18.6% revenue growth

IP1 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Price/BookValuation
1.2x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Areas to Watch

AMBP4 concerns · Avg: 2.5/10
Profit MarginProfitability
0.2%3/10

0.2% margin — thin

Operating MarginProfitability
3.9%3/10

Operating margin of 3.9%

Return on EquityProfitability
-63.6%2/10

ROE of -63.6% — below average capital efficiency

Free Cash FlowQuality
$-405.00M2/10

Negative free cash flow — burning cash

IP4 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
1.584/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Operating MarginProfitability
3.7%3/10

Operating margin of 3.7%

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
2/93/10

Weak financial health signals

Return on EquityProfitability
-22.6%2/10

ROE of -22.6% — below average capital efficiency

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : AMBP

The strongest argument for AMBP centers on EPS Growth, Debt/Equity, Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 18.6% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : IP

The strongest argument for IP centers on Price/Book. Revenue growth of 13.4% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : AMBP

The primary concerns for AMBP are Profit Margin, Operating Margin, Return on Equity. Thin 0.2% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Bear Case : IP

The primary concerns for IP are PEG Ratio, Operating Margin, Piotroski F-Score.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

AMBP profiles as a growth stock while IP is a turnaround play — different risk/reward profiles.

IP carries more volatility with a beta of 0.93 — expect wider price swings.

AMBP is growing revenue faster at 18.6% — sustainability is the question.

IP generates stronger free cash flow (94M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

IP scores higher overall (50/100 vs 42/100) and 13.4% revenue growth. Both earn "Hold" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Ardagh Metal Packaging SA

CONSUMER CYCLICAL · PACKAGING & CONTAINERS · USA

Ardagh Metal Packaging SA (AMBP) is a prominent global leader in sustainable metal packaging solutions serving the beverage, food, and personal care sectors. With an extensive network of manufacturing facilities worldwide, the company utilizes cutting-edge production technologies to produce high-quality, innovative packaging that caters to diverse market demands. Ardagh's unwavering commitment to sustainability and adherence to circular economy principles position it advantageously in a marketplace increasingly driven by environmental considerations, signaling considerable growth potential and attractive value propositions for institutional investors.

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International Paper

CONSUMER CYCLICAL · PACKAGING & CONTAINERS · USA

The International Paper Company (NYSE: IP) is an American pulp and paper company, the largest such company in the world. The company is headquartered in Memphis, Tennessee.

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