Ardagh Metal Packaging SA (AMBP)vsPackaging Corp of America (PKG)
AMBP
Ardagh Metal Packaging SA
$4.25
+2.16%
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · Cap: $2.54B
PKG
Packaging Corp of America
$213.36
-0.07%
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · Cap: $19.21B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Packaging Corp of America generates 64% more annual revenue ($8.99B vs $5.50B). AMBP leads profitability with a 20.0% profit margin vs 8.6%. PKG earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 54/100 (C-).
AMBP
Hold42
out of 100
Grade: D
PKG
Buy54
out of 100
Grade: C-
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Intrinsic value data unavailable for AMBP.
Margin of Safety
-319.6%
Fair Value
$58.28
Current Price
$213.36
$155.08 premium
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Earnings expanding 75.0% YoY
Conservative balance sheet, low leverage
Keeps 20 of every $100 in revenue as profit
No standout strengths identified
Areas to Watch
Operating margin of 3.3%
ROE of -63.6% — below average capital efficiency
Distress zone — elevated risk
Expensive relative to growth rate
Weak financial health signals
Earnings declined 56.5%
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : AMBP
The strongest argument for AMBP centers on EPS Growth, Debt/Equity, Profit Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 20.0% and operating margin at 3.3%. Revenue growth of 12.6% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bull Case : PKG
Revenue growth of 10.1% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : AMBP
The primary concerns for AMBP are Operating Margin, Return on Equity, Altman Z-Score.
Bear Case : PKG
The primary concerns for PKG are PEG Ratio, Piotroski F-Score, EPS Growth.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
AMBP profiles as a mature stock while PKG is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.
PKG carries more volatility with a beta of 0.90 — expect wider price swings.
AMBP is growing revenue faster at 12.6% — sustainability is the question.
AMBP generates stronger free cash flow (315M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
PKG scores higher overall (54/100 vs 42/100) and 10.1% revenue growth. Both earn "Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Ardagh Metal Packaging SA
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · PACKAGING & CONTAINERS · USA
Ardagh Metal Packaging SA (AMBP) is a leading global provider of sustainable metal packaging solutions, specializing in innovative designs for the beverage, food, and personal care industries. With a strategic network of production facilities across the globe, the company combines advanced manufacturing processes with a commitment to rapid responsiveness, ensuring high-quality products that meet a wide array of customer needs. Ardagh's strong focus on sustainability and adherence to circular economy principles uniquely positions it to benefit from the growing demand for eco-friendly packaging solutions, thereby presenting compelling growth opportunities and value creation for institutional investors.
Visit Website →Packaging Corp of America
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · PACKAGING & CONTAINERS · USA
Packaging Corporation of America is an American manufacturing company based in Lake Forest, Illinois.
Visit Website →Compare with Other PACKAGING & CONTAINERS Stocks
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