WallStSmart

Ardagh Metal Packaging SA (AMBP)vsBall Corporation (BALL)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Ball Corporation generates 139% more annual revenue ($13.16B vs $5.50B). AMBP leads profitability with a 20.0% profit margin vs 6.9%. BALL earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 71/100 (B).

AMBP

Hold

42

out of 100

Grade: D

Growth: 7.3Profit: 5.0Value: 5.0Quality: 6.0
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 1.02

BALL

Strong Buy

71

out of 100

Grade: B

Growth: 6.7Profit: 6.0Value: 10.0Quality: 6.3
Piotroski: 4/9
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

Intrinsic value data unavailable for AMBP.

BALLUndervalued (+56.4%)

Margin of Safety

+56.4%

Fair Value

$154.44

Current Price

$60.75

$93.69 discount

UndervaluedFair: $154.44Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

AMBP3 strengths · Avg: 9.7/10
EPS GrowthGrowth
75.0%10/10

Earnings expanding 75.0% YoY

Debt/EquityHealth
-11.9710/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

Profit MarginProfitability
20.0%9/10

Keeps 20 of every $100 in revenue as profit

BALL5 strengths · Avg: 8.4/10
EPS GrowthGrowth
81.1%10/10

Earnings expanding 81.1% YoY

P/E RatioValuation
17.9x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Price/BookValuation
3.0x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Revenue GrowthGrowth
16.2%8/10

16.2% revenue growth

Free Cash FlowQuality
$1.04B8/10

Generating 1.0B in free cash flow

Areas to Watch

AMBP3 concerns · Avg: 2.3/10
Operating MarginProfitability
3.3%3/10

Operating margin of 3.3%

Return on EquityProfitability
-63.6%2/10

ROE of -63.6% — below average capital efficiency

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.022/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

BALL2 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
Profit MarginProfitability
6.9%3/10

6.9% margin — thin

Debt/EquityHealth
1.293/10

Elevated debt levels

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : AMBP

The strongest argument for AMBP centers on EPS Growth, Debt/Equity, Profit Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 20.0% and operating margin at 3.3%. Revenue growth of 12.6% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : BALL

The strongest argument for BALL centers on EPS Growth, P/E Ratio, Price/Book. Revenue growth of 16.2% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.22 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : AMBP

The primary concerns for AMBP are Operating Margin, Return on Equity, Altman Z-Score.

Bear Case : BALL

The primary concerns for BALL are Profit Margin, Debt/Equity.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

AMBP profiles as a mature stock while BALL is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.

BALL carries more volatility with a beta of 1.11 — expect wider price swings.

BALL is growing revenue faster at 16.2% — sustainability is the question.

BALL generates stronger free cash flow (1.0B), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

BALL scores higher overall (71/100 vs 42/100) and 16.2% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Ardagh Metal Packaging SA

CONSUMER CYCLICAL · PACKAGING & CONTAINERS · USA

Ardagh Metal Packaging SA (AMBP) is a leading global provider of sustainable metal packaging solutions, specializing in innovative designs for the beverage, food, and personal care industries. With a strategic network of production facilities across the globe, the company combines advanced manufacturing processes with a commitment to rapid responsiveness, ensuring high-quality products that meet a wide array of customer needs. Ardagh's strong focus on sustainability and adherence to circular economy principles uniquely positions it to benefit from the growing demand for eco-friendly packaging solutions, thereby presenting compelling growth opportunities and value creation for institutional investors.

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Ball Corporation

CONSUMER CYCLICAL · PACKAGING & CONTAINERS · USA

Ball Corporation supplies aluminum packaging products to the beverage, personal care, and household products industries in the United States, Brazil, and internationally. The company is headquartered in Westminster, Colorado.

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