WallStSmart

American States Water Company (AWR)vsVistra Corp. (VST)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Vistra Corp. generates 2655% more annual revenue ($19.21B vs $697.48M). AWR leads profitability with a 20.5% profit margin vs 11.6%. VST appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.38. AWR earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 66/100 (B-).

AWR

Strong Buy

66

out of 100

Grade: B-

Growth: 7.3Profit: 7.5Value: 4.0Quality: 4.5
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 1.23

VST

Buy

54

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 2.0Profit: 7.0Value: 7.0Quality: 2.5
Piotroski: 2/9Altman Z: 0.60
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

AWROvervalued (-9.1%)

Margin of Safety

-9.1%

Fair Value

$65.05

Current Price

$86.48

$21.43 premium

UndervaluedFair: $65.05Overvalued

Intrinsic value data unavailable for VST.

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

AWR3 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
Operating MarginProfitability
35.8%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 35.8%

Profit MarginProfitability
20.5%9/10

Keeps 21 of every $100 in revenue as profit

EPS GrowthGrowth
25.8%8/10

Earnings expanding 25.8% YoY

VST2 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
0.3810/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

Return on EquityProfitability
40.5%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 40 in profit

Areas to Watch

AWR3 concerns · Avg: 2.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
2.982/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Free Cash FlowQuality
$-3.60M2/10

Negative free cash flow — burning cash

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.232/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

VST4 concerns · Avg: 2.8/10
Price/BookValuation
16.6x4/10

Trading at 16.6x book value

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
2/93/10

Weak financial health signals

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-5.5%2/10

Revenue declined 5.5%

EPS GrowthGrowth
-6.2%2/10

Earnings declined 6.2%

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : AWR

The strongest argument for AWR centers on Operating Margin, Profit Margin, EPS Growth. Profitability is solid with margins at 20.5% and operating margin at 35.8%. Revenue growth of 11.2% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : VST

The strongest argument for VST centers on PEG Ratio, Return on Equity. PEG of 0.38 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : AWR

The primary concerns for AWR are PEG Ratio, Free Cash Flow, Altman Z-Score.

Bear Case : VST

The primary concerns for VST are Price/Book, Piotroski F-Score, Revenue Growth. Debt-to-equity of 3.63 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

AWR profiles as a mature stock while VST is a declining play — different risk/reward profiles.

VST carries more volatility with a beta of 1.41 — expect wider price swings.

AWR is growing revenue faster at 11.2% — sustainability is the question.

VST generates stronger free cash flow (133M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

AWR scores higher overall (66/100 vs 54/100), backed by strong 20.5% margins and 11.2% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

American States Water Company

UTILITIES · UTILITIES - REGULATED WATER · USA

American States Water Company provides water and electricity services to residential, commercial, industrial and other customers in the United States. The company is headquartered in San Dimas, California.

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Vistra Corp.

UTILITIES · UTILITIES - INDEPENDENT POWER PRODUCERS · USA

Vistra Corp. The company is headquartered in Irving, Texas.

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