WallStSmart

California Water Service Group (CWT)vsVistra Energy Corp (VST)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Vistra Energy Corp generates 1674% more annual revenue ($17.74B vs $1.00B). CWT leads profitability with a 12.8% profit margin vs 5.3%. VST appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.36. VST earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 53/100 (C-).

CWT

Hold

47

out of 100

Grade: D+

Growth: 3.3Profit: 5.0Value: 6.0Quality: 2.8
Piotroski: 1/9Altman Z: 0.74

VST

Buy

53

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 3.3Profit: 6.0Value: 3.3Quality: 2.5
Piotroski: 2/9Altman Z: 0.73
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

CWTUndervalued (+29.8%)

Margin of Safety

+29.8%

Fair Value

$62.85

Current Price

$42.24

$20.61 discount

UndervaluedFair: $62.85Overvalued
VSTSignificantly Overvalued (-54.4%)

Margin of Safety

-54.4%

Fair Value

$100.34

Current Price

$157.84

$57.50 premium

UndervaluedFair: $100.34Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

CWT1 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Price/BookValuation
1.5x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

VST1 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
Market CapQuality
$53.44B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Areas to Watch

CWT4 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
2.124/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Return on EquityProfitability
7.7%3/10

ROE of 7.7% — below average capital efficiency

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
1/93/10

Weak financial health signals

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-1.0%2/10

Revenue declined 1.0%

VST4 concerns · Avg: 2.5/10
Profit MarginProfitability
5.3%3/10

5.3% margin — thin

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
2/93/10

Weak financial health signals

P/E RatioValuation
72.4x2/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Price/BookValuation
20.4x2/10

Trading at 20.4x book value

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : CWT

The strongest argument for CWT centers on Price/Book.

Bull Case : VST

The strongest argument for VST centers on Market Cap. Revenue growth of 13.6% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.36 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : CWT

The primary concerns for CWT are PEG Ratio, Return on Equity, Piotroski F-Score.

Bear Case : VST

The primary concerns for VST are Profit Margin, Piotroski F-Score, P/E Ratio. A P/E of 72.4x leaves little room for execution misses. Debt-to-equity of 3.36 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

CWT profiles as a declining stock while VST is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.

VST carries more volatility with a beta of 1.50 — expect wider price swings.

VST is growing revenue faster at 13.6% — sustainability is the question.

VST generates stronger free cash flow (-82M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

VST scores higher overall (53/100 vs 47/100) and 13.6% revenue growth. CWT offers better value entry with a 29.8% margin of safety. Both earn "Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

California Water Service Group

UTILITIES · UTILITIES - REGULATED WATER · USA

California Water Service Group provides public water and related services in California, Washington, New Mexico and Hawaii. The company is headquartered in San Jose, California.

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Vistra Energy Corp

UTILITIES · UTILITIES - INDEPENDENT POWER PRODUCERS · USA

Vistra Corp. The company is headquartered in Irving, Texas.

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