WallStSmart

BJs Wholesale Club Holdings Inc (BJ)vsProgressive Corp (PGR)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Progressive Corp generates 308% more annual revenue ($87.64B vs $21.46B). PGR leads profitability with a 12.9% profit margin vs 2.7%. BJ appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 2.45. PGR earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 67/100 (B-).

BJ

Buy

52

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 4.7Profit: 6.0Value: 7.3Quality: 5.8
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 3.87

PGR

Strong Buy

67

out of 100

Grade: B-

Growth: 8.0Profit: 7.5Value: 7.3Quality: 5.3
Piotroski: 4/9
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

BJSignificantly Overvalued (-83.2%)

Margin of Safety

-83.2%

Fair Value

$54.31

Current Price

$97.81

$43.50 premium

UndervaluedFair: $54.31Overvalued
PGRUndervalued (+76.9%)

Margin of Safety

+76.9%

Fair Value

$900.43

Current Price

$202.84

$697.59 discount

UndervaluedFair: $900.43Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

BJ2 strengths · Avg: 9.5/10
Altman Z-ScoreHealth
3.8710/10

Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk

Return on EquityProfitability
28.6%9/10

Every $100 of equity generates 29 in profit

PGR5 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
P/E RatioValuation
10.7x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Return on EquityProfitability
40.5%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 41 in profit

Market CapQuality
$120.67B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

EPS GrowthGrowth
25.2%8/10

Earnings expanding 25.2% YoY

Free Cash FlowQuality
$3.05B8/10

Generating 3.0B in free cash flow

Areas to Watch

BJ4 concerns · Avg: 3.5/10
PEG RatioValuation
2.454/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

EPS GrowthGrowth
3.5%4/10

3.5% earnings growth

Profit MarginProfitability
2.7%3/10

2.7% margin — thin

Operating MarginProfitability
3.2%3/10

Operating margin of 3.2%

PGR1 concerns · Avg: 2.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
31.572/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : BJ

The strongest argument for BJ centers on Altman Z-Score, Return on Equity.

Bull Case : PGR

The strongest argument for PGR centers on P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, Market Cap. Revenue growth of 12.2% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : BJ

The primary concerns for BJ are PEG Ratio, EPS Growth, Profit Margin. Thin 2.7% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Bear Case : PGR

The primary concerns for PGR are PEG Ratio.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

BJ carries more volatility with a beta of 0.33 — expect wider price swings.

PGR is growing revenue faster at 12.2% — sustainability is the question.

PGR generates stronger free cash flow (3.0B), providing more financial flexibility.

Monitor DISCOUNT STORES industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.

Bottom Line

PGR scores higher overall (67/100 vs 52/100) and 12.2% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

BJs Wholesale Club Holdings Inc

CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · DISCOUNT STORES · USA

BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc., operates warehouse clubs on the East Coast of the United States. The company is headquartered in Westborough, Massachusetts.

Progressive Corp

FINANCIAL SERVICES · INSURANCE - PROPERTY & CASUALTY · USA

The Progressive Corporation is an American insurance company, one of the largest providers of car insurance in the United States. The company insures motorcycles, boats, RVs, and commercial vehicles and provides home insurance through select companies.

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