Dollar Tree Inc (DLTR)vsProgressive Corp (PGR)
DLTR
Dollar Tree Inc
$106.64
+0.10%
CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · Cap: $21.18B
PGR
Progressive Corp
$202.84
-1.63%
FINANCIAL SERVICES · Cap: $120.67B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Progressive Corp generates 351% more annual revenue ($87.64B vs $19.41B). PGR leads profitability with a 12.9% profit margin vs 6.6%. DLTR appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.12. PGR earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 67/100 (B-).
DLTR
Buy63
out of 100
Grade: C+
PGR
Strong Buy67
out of 100
Grade: B-
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+11.4%
Fair Value
$141.13
Current Price
$106.64
$34.49 discount
Margin of Safety
+76.9%
Fair Value
$900.43
Current Price
$202.84
$697.59 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Every $100 of equity generates 32 in profit
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Every $100 of equity generates 41 in profit
Large-cap with strong market position
Earnings expanding 25.2% YoY
Generating 3.0B in free cash flow
Areas to Watch
Grey zone — moderate risk
6.6% margin — thin
Elevated debt levels
Expensive relative to growth rate
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : DLTR
The strongest argument for DLTR centers on Return on Equity, P/E Ratio. PEG of 1.12 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bull Case : PGR
The strongest argument for PGR centers on P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, Market Cap. Revenue growth of 12.2% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : DLTR
The primary concerns for DLTR are Altman Z-Score, Profit Margin, Debt/Equity. Debt-to-equity of 1.51 is elevated, increasing financial risk.
Bear Case : PGR
The primary concerns for PGR are PEG Ratio.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
DLTR carries more volatility with a beta of 0.69 — expect wider price swings.
PGR is growing revenue faster at 12.2% — sustainability is the question.
PGR generates stronger free cash flow (3.0B), providing more financial flexibility.
Monitor DISCOUNT STORES industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.
Bottom Line
PGR scores higher overall (67/100 vs 63/100) and 12.2% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Dollar Tree Inc
CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · DISCOUNT STORES · USA
Dollar Tree is an American chain of discount variety stores that sells items for $1 or less, headquartered in Chesapeake, Virginia.
Visit Website →Progressive Corp
FINANCIAL SERVICES · INSURANCE - PROPERTY & CASUALTY · USA
The Progressive Corporation is an American insurance company, one of the largest providers of car insurance in the United States. The company insures motorcycles, boats, RVs, and commercial vehicles and provides home insurance through select companies.
Visit Website →Compare with Other DISCOUNT STORES Stocks
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