WallStSmart

CF Industries Holdings Inc (CF)vsICL Israel Chemicals Ltd (ICL)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

ICL Israel Chemicals Ltd generates 1% more annual revenue ($7.15B vs $7.08B). CF leads profitability with a 20.5% profit margin vs 3.2%. CF appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 5.66. CF earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 76/100 (B+).

CF

Strong Buy

76

out of 100

Grade: B+

Growth: 6.7Profit: 8.5Value: 7.3Quality: 8.3
Piotroski: 6/9

ICL

Hold

45

out of 100

Grade: D+

Growth: 4.0Profit: 5.0Value: 4.7Quality: 7.0
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 2.36
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

CFUndervalued (+77.1%)

Margin of Safety

+77.1%

Fair Value

$423.07

Current Price

$125.54

$297.53 discount

UndervaluedFair: $423.07Overvalued
ICLSignificantly Overvalued (-236.3%)

Margin of Safety

-236.3%

Fair Value

$1.71

Current Price

$5.19

$3.48 premium

UndervaluedFair: $1.71Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

CF6 strengths · Avg: 8.7/10
Operating MarginProfitability
35.3%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 35.3%

Return on EquityProfitability
23.4%9/10

Every $100 of equity generates 23 in profit

Profit MarginProfitability
20.5%9/10

Keeps 21 of every $100 in revenue as profit

P/E RatioValuation
13.6x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Revenue GrowthGrowth
22.8%8/10

Revenue surging 22.8% year-over-year

EPS GrowthGrowth
37.1%8/10

Earnings expanding 37.1% YoY

ICL1 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Price/BookValuation
1.1x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Areas to Watch

CF1 concerns · Avg: 2.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
5.662/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

ICL4 concerns · Avg: 3.5/10
P/E RatioValuation
29.3x4/10

Moderate valuation

EPS GrowthGrowth
1.7%4/10

1.7% earnings growth

Return on EquityProfitability
4.6%3/10

ROE of 4.6% — below average capital efficiency

Profit MarginProfitability
3.2%3/10

3.2% margin — thin

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : CF

The strongest argument for CF centers on Operating Margin, Return on Equity, Profit Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 20.5% and operating margin at 35.3%. Revenue growth of 22.8% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : ICL

The strongest argument for ICL centers on Price/Book.

Bear Case : CF

The primary concerns for CF are PEG Ratio.

Bear Case : ICL

The primary concerns for ICL are P/E Ratio, EPS Growth, Return on Equity. Thin 3.2% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

CF profiles as a growth stock while ICL is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.

ICL carries more volatility with a beta of 1.01 — expect wider price swings.

CF is growing revenue faster at 22.8% — sustainability is the question.

CF generates stronger free cash flow (313M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

CF scores higher overall (76/100 vs 45/100), backed by strong 20.5% margins and 22.8% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

CF Industries Holdings Inc

BASIC MATERIALS · AGRICULTURAL INPUTS · USA

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. is a North American manufacturer and distributor of agricultural fertilizers, based in Deerfield, Illinois.

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ICL Israel Chemicals Ltd

BASIC MATERIALS · AGRICULTURAL INPUTS · USA

ICL Group Ltd, is a company specialized in minerals and chemical products worldwide. The company is headquartered in Tel Aviv, Israel.

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