CF Industries Holdings Inc (CF) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target
CF Industries Holdings Inc stock (CF) is currently trading at $128.11. CF Industries Holdings Inc PE ratio is 14.28. CF Industries Holdings Inc PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 2.78. Analyst consensus price target for CF is $107.68. WallStSmart rates CF as Buy.
- CF PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
- CF PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
- CF intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
- CF stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
- CF fair value vs current price
- CF insider transactions and insider buying
- Is CF undervalued or overvalued?
- CF Industries Holdings Inc financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
- CF Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
- CF analyst price target and Smart Rating
CF Industries Holdings Inc
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CF Intrinsic Value Analysis for Value Investors
Benjamin Graham Formula · CF Industries Holdings Inc (CF)
CF trades at a significant discount to its Graham intrinsic value of $419.80, offering a 77% margin of safety — a level value investors typically seek before buying.
Based on Benjamin Graham Formula. Growth rate capped at 25%. For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Smart Analysis
CF Industries Holdings Inc (CF) · 10 metrics scored
Smart Score
Category Performance
WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.
Investment Thesis
Strong fundamentals in market cap, return on equity, operating margin. Concerns around peg ratio. Overall metrics suggest strong investment potential with favorable risk/reward.
CF Industries Holdings Inc (CF) Key Strengths (7)
Keeps $35 of every $100 in revenue after operating costs
Earnings per share surging 37.10% year-over-year
Keeps $21 of every $100 in revenue as net profit
106.64% of shares held by major funds and institutions
Large-cap company with substantial market presence
Every $100 of equity generates $23 in profit
Strong revenue growth at 22.80% annually
Supporting Valuation Data
CF Industries Holdings Inc (CF) Areas to Watch (3)
Very expensive relative to growth, significant premium
Premium pricing at 4.0x book value
Revenue is fairly priced at 2.78x sales
CF Industries Holdings Inc (CF) Detailed Analysis Report
Overall Assessment
This company scores 76/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a B+ grade. Out of 10 metrics analyzed, 7 register as strengths (avg 9.4/10) while 3 fall into concern territory (avg 4.0/10). All four categories (Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality) show healthy scores, indicating broadly sound fundamentals.
The Bull Case
The strongest argument centers on Operating Margin, EPS Growth, Profit Margin. Profitability is solid with Return on Equity at 23.40%, Operating Margin at 35.30%, Profit Margin at 20.50%. Growth metrics are encouraging with Revenue Growth at 22.80%, EPS Growth at 37.10%.
The Bear Case
The primary concerns are PEG Ratio, Price/Book, Price/Sales. Some valuation metrics including PEG Ratio (5.78), Price/Sales (2.78), Price/Book (3.97) suggest expensive pricing.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether PEG Ratio improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at 23.40% currently healthy but needing to be sustained. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at 22.80% strong but requiring continuation.
Risk Considerations
Based on the metric profile, this is a moderate risk investment. The weight of evidence leans positive, with more strengths than concerns. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.
Bottom Line
The combination of Operating Margin and EPS Growth makes a compelling case at current levels. The key risk is PEG Ratio, but the overall fundamental picture is positive with a clear path to maintaining or improving the current B+ grade.
Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.
CF Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart
Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue
CF's Price-to-Sales ratio of 2.78x trades at a deep discount to its historical average of 5.67x (51th percentile). The current valuation is 83% below its historical high of 16.64x set in May 2015, and 132% above its historical low of 1.2x in May 2023. Over the past 12 months, the PS ratio has expanded from ~2.3x, reflecting growing market expectations outpacing revenue growth.
WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis
Data-driven financial summary for CF Industries Holdings Inc (CF) · BASIC MATERIALS › AGRICULTURAL INPUTS
The Big Picture
CF Industries Holdings Inc is a strong growth company balancing expansion with improving profitability. Revenue reached 7.1B with 23% growth year-over-year. Profit margins are strong at 20.5%, reflecting pricing power and operational efficiency.
Key Findings
ROE of 23.4% means the company generates strong returns on shareholder equity. Above 20% is considered top-tier.
Profit margin of 20.5% and operating margin of 35.3% demonstrate strong pricing power and operational efficiency.
What to Watch Next
Growth sustainability: can CF Industries Holdings Inc maintain 23%+ revenue growth, or will competition slow it down?
Sector dynamics: monitor AGRICULTURAL INPUTS industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact CF Industries Holdings Inc.
Bottom Line
CF Industries Holdings Inc offers an attractive blend of growth (23% revenue expansion) and improving fundamentals. The company is transitioning from pure growth to profitable growth, a critical inflection point. Watch for sustained margin expansion as the key signal.
This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Insider Transactions
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About CF Industries Holdings Inc(CF)
NYSE
BASIC MATERIALS
AGRICULTURAL INPUTS
USA
CF Industries Holdings, Inc. is a North American manufacturer and distributor of agricultural fertilizers, based in Deerfield, Illinois.