CF Industries Holdings Inc (CF)vsThe Mosaic Company (MOS)
CF
CF Industries Holdings Inc
$123.24
+1.36%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $17.90B
MOS
The Mosaic Company
$21.76
-4.56%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $7.31B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
The Mosaic Company generates 50% more annual revenue ($11.90B vs $7.94B). CF leads profitability with a 27.5% profit margin vs -9.4%. CF appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.51. CF earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 83/100 (A-).
CF
Exceptional Buy83
out of 100
Grade: A-
MOS
Buy52
out of 100
Grade: C-
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+48.4%
Fair Value
$238.91
Current Price
$123.24
$115.67 discount
Margin of Safety
+51.3%
Fair Value
$63.96
Current Price
$21.76
$42.20 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Every $100 of equity generates 38 in profit
Strong operational efficiency at 34.4%
Keeps 28 of every $100 in revenue as profit
Growing faster than its price suggests
Earnings expanding 31.1% YoY
Reasonable price relative to book value
Earnings expanding 239.5% YoY
Areas to Watch
No major concerns identified
Expensive relative to growth rate
ROE of 6.2% — below average capital efficiency
Revenue declined 10.2%
Currently unprofitable
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : CF
The strongest argument for CF centers on P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, Operating Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 27.5% and operating margin at 34.4%. Revenue growth of 12.1% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bull Case : MOS
The strongest argument for MOS centers on Price/Book, EPS Growth.
Bear Case : CF
No major red flags identified for CF, but monitor valuation.
Bear Case : MOS
The primary concerns for MOS are PEG Ratio, Return on Equity, Revenue Growth.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
CF profiles as a mature stock while MOS is a turnaround play — different risk/reward profiles.
MOS carries more volatility with a beta of 0.86 — expect wider price swings.
CF is growing revenue faster at 12.1% — sustainability is the question.
CF generates stronger free cash flow (888M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
CF scores higher overall (83/100 vs 52/100), backed by strong 27.5% margins and 12.1% revenue growth. MOS offers better value entry with a 51.3% margin of safety. Both earn "Exceptional Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
CF Industries Holdings Inc
BASIC MATERIALS · AGRICULTURAL INPUTS · USA
CF Industries Holdings, Inc. is a North American manufacturer and distributor of agricultural fertilizers, based in Deerfield, Illinois.
Visit Website →The Mosaic Company
BASIC MATERIALS · AGRICULTURAL INPUTS · USA
The Mosaic Company is a Fortune 500 company based in Tampa, Florida which mines phosphate and potash, and operates through segments such as international distribution and Mosaic Fertilizantes.
Visit Website →Compare with Other AGRICULTURAL INPUTS Stocks
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