WallStSmart

CF Industries Holdings Inc (CF)vsNutrien Ltd (NTR)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Nutrien Ltd generates 253% more annual revenue ($27.29B vs $7.74B). CF leads profitability with a 27.1% profit margin vs 8.7%. CF appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.60. CF earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 83/100 (A-).

CF

Exceptional Buy

83

out of 100

Grade: A-

Growth: 6.7Profit: 9.5Value: 9.3Quality: 8.0
Piotroski: 6/9Altman Z: 2.37

NTR

Buy

57

out of 100

Grade: C

Growth: 3.3Profit: 6.5Value: 4.7Quality: 6.5
Piotroski: 6/9Altman Z: 1.73
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

CFUndervalued (+41.0%)

Margin of Safety

+41.0%

Fair Value

$226.95

Current Price

$133.82

$93.13 discount

UndervaluedFair: $226.95Overvalued
NTRSignificantly Overvalued (-29.7%)

Margin of Safety

-29.7%

Fair Value

$56.34

Current Price

$77.09

$20.75 premium

UndervaluedFair: $56.34Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

CF6 strengths · Avg: 9.5/10
P/E RatioValuation
10.0x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Return on EquityProfitability
36.5%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 37 in profit

Operating MarginProfitability
49.3%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 49.3%

EPS GrowthGrowth
99.6%10/10

Earnings expanding 99.6% YoY

Profit MarginProfitability
27.1%9/10

Keeps 27 of every $100 in revenue as profit

PEG RatioValuation
0.608/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

NTR3 strengths · Avg: 8.7/10
Price/BookValuation
1.4x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

P/E RatioValuation
16.0x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Free Cash FlowQuality
$1.99B8/10

Generating 2.0B in free cash flow

Areas to Watch

CF0 concerns · Avg: 0/10

No major concerns identified

NTR4 concerns · Avg: 4.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
1.984/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Revenue GrowthGrowth
4.0%4/10

4.0% revenue growth

EPS GrowthGrowth
1.2%4/10

1.2% earnings growth

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.734/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : CF

The strongest argument for CF centers on P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, Operating Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 27.1% and operating margin at 49.3%. Revenue growth of 17.6% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : NTR

The strongest argument for NTR centers on Price/Book, P/E Ratio, Free Cash Flow.

Bear Case : CF

No major red flags identified for CF, but monitor valuation.

Bear Case : NTR

The primary concerns for NTR are PEG Ratio, Revenue Growth, EPS Growth.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

CF profiles as a growth stock while NTR is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.

NTR carries more volatility with a beta of 1.08 — expect wider price swings.

CF is growing revenue faster at 17.6% — sustainability is the question.

NTR generates stronger free cash flow (2.0B), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

CF scores higher overall (83/100 vs 57/100), backed by strong 27.1% margins and 17.6% revenue growth. Both earn "Exceptional Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

CF Industries Holdings Inc

BASIC MATERIALS · AGRICULTURAL INPUTS · USA

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. is a North American manufacturer and distributor of agricultural fertilizers, based in Deerfield, Illinois.

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Nutrien Ltd

BASIC MATERIALS · AGRICULTURAL INPUTS · USA

Nutrien Ltd. provides inputs, services and solutions for crops. The company is headquartered in Saskatoon, Canada.

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