WallStSmart

Churchill Downs Incorporated (CHDN)vseBay Inc (EBAY)

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Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

eBay Inc generates 301% more annual revenue ($12.01B vs $2.99B). EBAY leads profitability with a 18.6% profit margin vs 13.8%. EBAY appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.64. EBAY earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 70/100 (B-).

CHDN

Strong Buy

68

out of 100

Grade: B-

Growth: 6.0Profit: 8.0Value: 7.3Quality: 3.5
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 1.00

EBAY

Strong Buy

70

out of 100

Grade: B-

Growth: 6.7Profit: 8.5Value: 4.0Quality: 6.0
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 4.49
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

CHDNUndervalued (+70.8%)

Margin of Safety

+70.8%

Fair Value

$324.32

Current Price

$97.65

$226.67 discount

UndervaluedFair: $324.32Overvalued
EBAYSignificantly Overvalued (-26.5%)

Margin of Safety

-26.5%

Fair Value

$95.82

Current Price

$125.15

$29.33 premium

UndervaluedFair: $95.82Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

CHDN3 strengths · Avg: 9.3/10
Return on EquityProfitability
35.2%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 35 in profit

Operating MarginProfitability
36.5%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 36.5%

P/E RatioValuation
14.0x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

EBAY5 strengths · Avg: 9.4/10
Return on EquityProfitability
47.6%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 48 in profit

EPS GrowthGrowth
55.0%10/10

Earnings expanding 55.0% YoY

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
4.4910/10

Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk

Market CapQuality
$52.52B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Operating MarginProfitability
21.6%8/10

Strong operational efficiency at 21.6%

Areas to Watch

CHDN4 concerns · Avg: 2.8/10
PEG RatioValuation
1.694/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Revenue GrowthGrowth
4.9%4/10

4.9% revenue growth

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.002/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

Debt/EquityHealth
3.571/10

Elevated debt levels

EBAY4 concerns · Avg: 3.8/10
PEG RatioValuation
1.644/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

P/E RatioValuation
25.8x4/10

Moderate valuation

Price/BookValuation
11.9x4/10

Trading at 11.9x book value

Debt/EquityHealth
1.533/10

Elevated debt levels

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : CHDN

The strongest argument for CHDN centers on Return on Equity, Operating Margin, P/E Ratio.

Bull Case : EBAY

The strongest argument for EBAY centers on Return on Equity, EPS Growth, Altman Z-Score. Profitability is solid with margins at 18.6% and operating margin at 21.6%. Revenue growth of 14.8% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : CHDN

The primary concerns for CHDN are PEG Ratio, Revenue Growth, Altman Z-Score. Debt-to-equity of 3.57 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Bear Case : EBAY

The primary concerns for EBAY are PEG Ratio, P/E Ratio, Price/Book. Debt-to-equity of 1.53 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

CHDN profiles as a value stock while EBAY is a mature play — different risk/reward profiles.

EBAY carries more volatility with a beta of 1.32 — expect wider price swings.

EBAY is growing revenue faster at 14.8% — sustainability is the question.

EBAY generates stronger free cash flow (300M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

EBAY scores higher overall (70/100 vs 68/100), backed by strong 18.6% margins and 14.8% revenue growth. CHDN offers better value entry with a 70.8% margin of safety. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Strong Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Churchill Downs Incorporated

CONSUMER CYCLICAL · GAMBLING · USA

Churchill Downs Incorporated is a gaming, online betting and racing entertainment company in the United States. The company is headquartered in Louisville, Kentucky.

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eBay Inc

CONSUMER CYCLICAL · INTERNET RETAIL · USA

eBay Inc. is an American multinational e-commerce corporation based in San Jose, California, that facilitates consumer-to-consumer and business-to-consumer sales through its website.

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