Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. (EXPD)vsForward Air Corporation (FWRD)
EXPD
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc.
$160.44
+0.19%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $21.79B
FWRD
Forward Air Corporation
$9.67
-5.20%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $327.63M
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. generates 354% more annual revenue ($11.19B vs $2.46B). EXPD leads profitability with a 7.5% profit margin vs -3.7%. FWRD appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.66. EXPD earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 55/100 (C-).
EXPD
Buy55
out of 100
Grade: C-
FWRD
Hold50
out of 100
Grade: D+
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
-79.7%
Fair Value
$90.10
Current Price
$160.44
$70.34 premium
Intrinsic value data unavailable for FWRD.
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Every $100 of equity generates 37 in profit
Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk
Conservative balance sheet, low leverage
Earnings expanding 145.0% YoY
Growing faster than its price suggests
Areas to Watch
Moderate valuation
Trading at 9.3x book value
4.4% revenue growth
7.5% margin — thin
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
Operating margin of 4.0%
ROE of -112.9% — below average capital efficiency
Revenue declined 5.1%
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : EXPD
The strongest argument for EXPD centers on Return on Equity, Altman Z-Score, Debt/Equity.
Bull Case : FWRD
The strongest argument for FWRD centers on EPS Growth, PEG Ratio. PEG of 0.66 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bear Case : EXPD
The primary concerns for EXPD are P/E Ratio, Price/Book, Revenue Growth.
Bear Case : FWRD
The primary concerns for FWRD are Market Cap, Operating Margin, Return on Equity. Debt-to-equity of 26.55 is elevated, increasing financial risk.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
EXPD profiles as a value stock while FWRD is a turnaround play — different risk/reward profiles.
FWRD carries more volatility with a beta of 1.42 — expect wider price swings.
EXPD is growing revenue faster at 4.4% — sustainability is the question.
EXPD generates stronger free cash flow (297M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
EXPD scores higher overall (55/100 vs 50/100). Both earn "Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc.
INDUSTRIALS · INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS · USA
Expeditors (Expeditors International of Washington) is an American worldwide logistics and freight forwarding company headquartered in Seattle, Washington.
Forward Air Corporation
INDUSTRIALS · INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS · USA
Forward Air Corporation is a light freight logistics and transportation company in the United States and Canada. The company is headquartered in Greeneville, Tennessee.
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