GXO Logistics Inc (GXO)vsZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO)
GXO
GXO Logistics Inc
$55.18
0.00%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $5.73B
ZTO
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc
$20.80
+0.14%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $15.53B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc generates 297% more annual revenue ($54.21B vs $13.64B). ZTO leads profitability with a 19.0% profit margin vs 1.0%. ZTO appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.05. ZTO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 80/100 (B+).
GXO
Hold49
out of 100
Grade: D+
ZTO
Strong Buy80
out of 100
Grade: B+
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Intrinsic value data unavailable for GXO.
Margin of Safety
+65.5%
Fair Value
$72.26
Current Price
$20.80
$51.46 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Reasonable price relative to book value
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Earnings expanding 58.1% YoY
Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk
Reasonable price relative to book value
Strong operational efficiency at 22.2%
Revenue surging 23.0% year-over-year
Areas to Watch
4.3% revenue growth
ROE of 4.5% — below average capital efficiency
1.0% margin — thin
Operating margin of 3.0%
No major concerns identified
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : GXO
The strongest argument for GXO centers on Price/Book. PEG of 1.14 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bull Case : ZTO
The strongest argument for ZTO centers on P/E Ratio, EPS Growth, Altman Z-Score. Profitability is solid with margins at 19.0% and operating margin at 22.2%. Revenue growth of 23.0% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : GXO
The primary concerns for GXO are Revenue Growth, Return on Equity, Profit Margin. A P/E of 44.2x leaves little room for execution misses. Debt-to-equity of 1.94 is elevated, increasing financial risk.
Bear Case : ZTO
No major red flags identified for ZTO, but monitor valuation.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
GXO profiles as a value stock while ZTO is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.
GXO carries more volatility with a beta of 1.57 — expect wider price swings.
ZTO is growing revenue faster at 23.0% — sustainability is the question.
ZTO generates stronger free cash flow (1.9B), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
ZTO scores higher overall (80/100 vs 49/100), backed by strong 19.0% margins and 23.0% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
GXO Logistics Inc
INDUSTRIALS · INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS · USA
GXO Logistics Inc (GXO) is a leading provider of contract logistics services, specializing in supply chain management and tailored logistics solutions for the e-commerce, retail, and consumer goods sectors. The company capitalizes on its extensive global network and innovative technology to drive operational efficiency and responsiveness for its clients, while also committing to sustainable practices. With rising demand for sophisticated warehousing and fulfillment services, GXO is well-positioned to capitalize on evolving market dynamics, supported by a seasoned management team and strategic partnerships aimed at promoting sustainable growth and enhancing shareholder value.
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc
INDUSTRIALS · INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS · China
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. provides express delivery and other value-added logistics services in the People's Republic of China. The company is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.
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