WallStSmart

Federal Signal Corporation (FSS)vsGeo Group Inc (GEO)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Geo Group Inc generates 12% more annual revenue ($2.73B vs $2.45B). FSS leads profitability with a 11.7% profit margin vs 10.0%. GEO appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.90. GEO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 69/100 (B-).

FSS

Buy

64

out of 100

Grade: C+

Growth: 8.0Profit: 7.5Value: 5.0Quality: 7.5
Piotroski: 3/9Altman Z: 3.26

GEO

Strong Buy

69

out of 100

Grade: B-

Growth: 7.3Profit: 6.5Value: 7.3Quality: 6.5
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 1.72
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

Intrinsic value data unavailable for FSS.

GEOUndervalued (+66.6%)

Margin of Safety

+66.6%

Fair Value

$47.35

Current Price

$31.29

$16.06 discount

UndervaluedFair: $47.35Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

FSS3 strengths · Avg: 8.7/10
Altman Z-ScoreHealth
3.2610/10

Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk

Revenue GrowthGrowth
18.7%8/10

18.7% revenue growth

EPS GrowthGrowth
20.7%8/10

Earnings expanding 20.7% YoY

GEO4 strengths · Avg: 8.5/10
EPS GrowthGrowth
106.5%10/10

Earnings expanding 106.5% YoY

P/E RatioValuation
15.7x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Price/BookValuation
2.6x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Revenue GrowthGrowth
16.6%8/10

16.6% revenue growth

Areas to Watch

FSS3 concerns · Avg: 3.7/10
PEG RatioValuation
1.924/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

P/E RatioValuation
26.9x4/10

Moderate valuation

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
3/93/10

Weak financial health signals

GEO3 concerns · Avg: 3.7/10
PEG RatioValuation
1.904/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.724/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

Debt/EquityHealth
1.113/10

Elevated debt levels

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : FSS

The strongest argument for FSS centers on Altman Z-Score, Revenue Growth, EPS Growth. Revenue growth of 18.7% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : GEO

The strongest argument for GEO centers on EPS Growth, P/E Ratio, Price/Book. Revenue growth of 16.6% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : FSS

The primary concerns for FSS are PEG Ratio, P/E Ratio, Piotroski F-Score.

Bear Case : GEO

The primary concerns for GEO are PEG Ratio, Altman Z-Score, Debt/Equity.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

FSS carries more volatility with a beta of 1.23 — expect wider price swings.

FSS is growing revenue faster at 18.7% — sustainability is the question.

GEO generates stronger free cash flow (135M), providing more financial flexibility.

Monitor FARM & HEAVY CONSTRUCTION MACHINERY industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.

Bottom Line

GEO scores higher overall (69/100 vs 64/100) and 16.6% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Federal Signal Corporation

INDUSTRIALS · FARM & HEAVY CONSTRUCTION MACHINERY · USA

Federal Signal Corporation designs, manufactures, and supplies a suite of integrated products and solutions for municipal, government, industrial, and commercial customers in the United States, Canada, Europe, and internationally. The company is headquartered in Oak Brook, Illinois.

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Geo Group Inc

INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA

The GEO Group (NYSE: GEO) is the first fully integrated capital real estate investment trust specializing in the design, financing, development and operation of secure facilities, processing centers and community re-entry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom.

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