Geo Group Inc (GEO)vsNAPCO Security Technologies Inc (NSSC)
GEO
Geo Group Inc
$25.31
+0.64%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $3.80B
NSSC
NAPCO Security Technologies Inc
$34.96
-2.26%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $1.34B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Geo Group Inc generates 1285% more annual revenue ($2.73B vs $197.23M). NSSC leads profitability with a 18.7% profit margin vs 10.0%. GEO appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.88. GEO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 69/100 (B-).
GEO
Strong Buy69
out of 100
Grade: B-
NSSC
Buy56
out of 100
Grade: C
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+66.9%
Fair Value
$47.81
Current Price
$25.31
$22.50 discount
Intrinsic value data unavailable for NSSC.
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Earnings expanding 106.5% YoY
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Reasonable price relative to book value
16.6% revenue growth
Conservative balance sheet, low leverage
Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk
Every $100 of equity generates 21 in profit
Earnings expanding 21.4% YoY
Areas to Watch
Expensive relative to growth rate
Distress zone — elevated risk
Elevated debt levels
Premium valuation, high expectations priced in
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
Weak financial health signals
Expensive relative to growth rate
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : GEO
The strongest argument for GEO centers on EPS Growth, P/E Ratio, Price/Book. Revenue growth of 16.6% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bull Case : NSSC
The strongest argument for NSSC centers on Debt/Equity, Altman Z-Score, Return on Equity. Profitability is solid with margins at 18.7% and operating margin at 17.8%.
Bear Case : GEO
The primary concerns for GEO are PEG Ratio, Altman Z-Score, Debt/Equity.
Bear Case : NSSC
The primary concerns for NSSC are P/E Ratio, Market Cap, Piotroski F-Score.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
GEO profiles as a growth stock while NSSC is a mature play — different risk/reward profiles.
NSSC carries more volatility with a beta of 1.54 — expect wider price swings.
GEO is growing revenue faster at 16.6% — sustainability is the question.
GEO generates stronger free cash flow (135M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
GEO scores higher overall (69/100 vs 56/100) and 16.6% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Geo Group Inc
INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA
The GEO Group (NYSE: GEO) is the first fully integrated capital real estate investment trust specializing in the design, financing, development and operation of secure facilities, processing centers and community re-entry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom.
Visit Website →NAPCO Security Technologies Inc
INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA
Napco Security Technologies, Inc. develops, manufactures, and sells security products in the United States and internationally. The company is headquartered in Amityville, New York.
Visit Website →Compare with Other SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES Stocks
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