Heartland Express Inc (HTLD)vsXPO Logistics Inc (XPO)
HTLD
Heartland Express Inc
$15.52
0.00%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $1.22B
XPO
XPO Logistics Inc
$218.94
-0.15%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $26.81B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
XPO Logistics Inc generates 988% more annual revenue ($8.30B vs $762.54M). XPO leads profitability with a 4.2% profit margin vs -5.7%. HTLD appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.68. XPO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 53/100 (C-).
HTLD
Avoid34
out of 100
Grade: F
XPO
Buy53
out of 100
Grade: C-
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+30.4%
Fair Value
$16.98
Current Price
$15.52
$1.46 discount
Margin of Safety
-23.4%
Fair Value
$163.60
Current Price
$218.94
$55.34 premium
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Conservative balance sheet, low leverage
Reasonable price relative to book value
Earnings expanding 46.6% YoY
Areas to Watch
Expensive relative to growth rate
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
Weak financial health signals
ROE of -5.8% — below average capital efficiency
Trading at 13.8x book value
Distress zone — elevated risk
4.2% margin — thin
Expensive relative to growth rate
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : HTLD
The strongest argument for HTLD centers on Debt/Equity, Price/Book.
Bull Case : XPO
The strongest argument for XPO centers on EPS Growth.
Bear Case : HTLD
The primary concerns for HTLD are PEG Ratio, Market Cap, Piotroski F-Score.
Bear Case : XPO
The primary concerns for XPO are Price/Book, Altman Z-Score, Profit Margin. A P/E of 78.7x leaves little room for execution misses. Debt-to-equity of 2.18 is elevated, increasing financial risk.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
HTLD profiles as a turnaround stock while XPO is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.
XPO carries more volatility with a beta of 1.64 — expect wider price swings.
XPO is growing revenue faster at 7.3% — sustainability is the question.
XPO generates stronger free cash flow (72M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
XPO scores higher overall (53/100 vs 34/100). HTLD offers better value entry with a 30.4% margin of safety. Both earn "Buy" and "Avoid" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Heartland Express Inc
INDUSTRIALS · TRUCKING · USA
Heartland Express, Inc., is a short- to medium-haul truck freight carrier in the United States and Canada. The company is headquartered in North Liberty, Iowa.
XPO Logistics Inc
INDUSTRIALS · TRUCKING · USA
XPO Logistics, Inc. provides supply chain solutions in the United States, the rest of North America, France, the United Kingdom, the rest of Europe, and internationally. The company is headquartered in Greenwich, Connecticut.
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