Heartland Express Inc (HTLD)vsXPO Logistics Inc (XPO)
HTLD
Heartland Express Inc
$10.38
+1.86%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $747.44M
XPO
XPO Logistics Inc
$192.86
+3.50%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $21.87B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
XPO Logistics Inc generates 912% more annual revenue ($8.16B vs $805.71M). XPO leads profitability with a 3.9% profit margin vs -6.5%. HTLD appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.68. XPO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 41/100 (D).
HTLD
Hold41
out of 100
Grade: D
XPO
Hold41
out of 100
Grade: D
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Intrinsic value data unavailable for HTLD.
Margin of Safety
-1020.0%
Fair Value
$18.02
Current Price
$192.86
$174.84 premium
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Reasonable price relative to book value
No standout strengths identified
Areas to Watch
Expensive relative to growth rate
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
ROE of -6.7% — below average capital efficiency
Revenue declined 26.1%
Expensive relative to growth rate
Trading at 12.1x book value
4.6% revenue growth
3.9% margin — thin
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : HTLD
The strongest argument for HTLD centers on Price/Book.
Bull Case : XPO
XPO has a balanced fundamental profile.
Bear Case : HTLD
The primary concerns for HTLD are PEG Ratio, Market Cap, Return on Equity.
Bear Case : XPO
The primary concerns for XPO are PEG Ratio, Price/Book, Revenue Growth. A P/E of 70.3x leaves little room for execution misses. Thin 3.9% margins leave little buffer for downturns.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
HTLD profiles as a turnaround stock while XPO is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.
XPO carries more volatility with a beta of 1.72 — expect wider price swings.
XPO is growing revenue faster at 4.6% — sustainability is the question.
XPO generates stronger free cash flow (119M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
HTLD scores higher overall (41/100 vs 41/100). Both earn "Hold" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Heartland Express Inc
INDUSTRIALS · TRUCKING · USA
Heartland Express, Inc., is a short- to medium-haul truck freight carrier in the United States and Canada. The company is headquartered in North Liberty, Iowa.
XPO Logistics Inc
INDUSTRIALS · TRUCKING · USA
XPO Logistics, Inc. provides supply chain solutions in the United States, the rest of North America, France, the United Kingdom, the rest of Europe, and internationally. The company is headquartered in Greenwich, Connecticut.
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