WallStSmart

KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc (KREF)vsAnnaly Capital Management, Inc. (NLY)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Annaly Capital Management, Inc. generates -7261% more annual revenue ($2.50B vs $-34.93M). NLY leads profitability with a 87.4% profit margin vs 0.0%. KREF appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 5.13. NLY earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 77/100 (B+).

KREF

Buy

50

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 5.3Profit: 4.5Value: 4.0Quality: 2.5
Piotroski: 2/9Altman Z: 0.20

NLY

Strong Buy

77

out of 100

Grade: B+

Growth: 9.3Profit: 7.5Value: 4.7Quality: 2.5
Piotroski: 3/9Altman Z: -0.56
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

Intrinsic value data unavailable for KREF.

NLYSignificantly Overvalued (-37.9%)

Margin of Safety

-37.9%

Fair Value

$16.54

Current Price

$21.22

$4.68 premium

UndervaluedFair: $16.54Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

KREF3 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Price/BookValuation
0.6x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Operating MarginProfitability
145.1%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 145.1%

Revenue GrowthGrowth
245.1%10/10

Revenue surging 245.1% year-over-year

NLY6 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
P/E RatioValuation
7.1x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Price/BookValuation
1.1x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Profit MarginProfitability
87.4%10/10

Keeps 87 of every $100 in revenue as profit

Operating MarginProfitability
81.0%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 81.0%

Revenue GrowthGrowth
48.8%10/10

Revenue surging 48.8% year-over-year

EPS GrowthGrowth
122.5%10/10

Earnings expanding 122.5% YoY

Areas to Watch

KREF4 concerns · Avg: 2.8/10
Market CapQuality
$448.82M3/10

Smaller company, higher risk/reward

Profit MarginProfitability
0.0%3/10

0.0% margin — thin

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
2/93/10

Weak financial health signals

PEG RatioValuation
5.132/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

NLY4 concerns · Avg: 2.3/10
Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
3/93/10

Weak financial health signals

PEG RatioValuation
32.032/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Free Cash FlowQuality
$-1.90B2/10

Negative free cash flow — burning cash

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
-0.562/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : KREF

The strongest argument for KREF centers on Price/Book, Operating Margin, Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 245.1% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : NLY

The strongest argument for NLY centers on P/E Ratio, Price/Book, Profit Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 87.4% and operating margin at 81.0%. Revenue growth of 48.8% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : KREF

The primary concerns for KREF are Market Cap, Profit Margin, Piotroski F-Score. Debt-to-equity of 4.11 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Bear Case : NLY

The primary concerns for NLY are Piotroski F-Score, PEG Ratio, Free Cash Flow. Debt-to-equity of 7.18 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

KREF profiles as a hypergrowth stock while NLY is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.

NLY carries more volatility with a beta of 1.25 — expect wider price swings.

KREF is growing revenue faster at 245.1% — sustainability is the question.

KREF generates stronger free cash flow (10M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

NLY scores higher overall (77/100 vs 50/100), backed by strong 87.4% margins and 48.8% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc

REAL ESTATE · REIT - MORTGAGE · USA

KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc., a mortgage real estate investment trust, focuses primarily on originating and acquiring senior loans secured by commercial real estate (CRE) assets. The company is headquartered in New York, New York.

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Annaly Capital Management, Inc.

REAL ESTATE · REIT - MORTGAGE · USA

Annaly Capital Management, Inc., a diversified capital manager, invests in and finances residential and commercial assets. The company is headquartered in New York, New York.

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