Landstar System Inc (LSTR)vsZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO)
LSTR
Landstar System Inc
$182.99
+3.35%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $5.93B
ZTO
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc
$23.60
-1.95%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $18.20B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc generates 931% more annual revenue ($51.49B vs $5.00B). ZTO leads profitability with a 17.9% profit margin vs 2.6%. LSTR appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.26. ZTO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 70/100 (B-).
LSTR
Buy57
out of 100
Grade: C
ZTO
Strong Buy70
out of 100
Grade: B-
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
-61.4%
Fair Value
$100.87
Current Price
$182.99
$82.12 premium
Margin of Safety
+64.2%
Fair Value
$69.44
Current Price
$23.60
$45.84 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Conservative balance sheet, low leverage
Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk
18.1% revenue growth
Earnings expanding 20.1% YoY
Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Reasonable price relative to book value
Revenue surging 22.0% year-over-year
Generating 2.8B in free cash flow
Areas to Watch
2.6% margin — thin
Operating margin of 4.6%
Weak financial health signals
Premium valuation, high expectations priced in
No major concerns identified
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : LSTR
The strongest argument for LSTR centers on Debt/Equity, Altman Z-Score, Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 18.1% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.26 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bull Case : ZTO
The strongest argument for ZTO centers on Altman Z-Score, P/E Ratio, Price/Book. Profitability is solid with margins at 17.9% and operating margin at 19.2%. Revenue growth of 22.0% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : LSTR
The primary concerns for LSTR are Profit Margin, Operating Margin, Piotroski F-Score. A P/E of 45.3x leaves little room for execution misses. Thin 2.6% margins leave little buffer for downturns.
Bear Case : ZTO
No major red flags identified for ZTO, but monitor valuation.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
LSTR carries more volatility with a beta of 0.88 — expect wider price swings.
ZTO is growing revenue faster at 22.0% — sustainability is the question.
ZTO generates stronger free cash flow (2.8B), providing more financial flexibility.
Monitor INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.
Bottom Line
ZTO scores higher overall (70/100 vs 57/100), backed by strong 17.9% margins and 22.0% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Landstar System Inc
INDUSTRIALS · INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS · USA
Landstar System, Inc. provides integrated transportation management solutions in the United States, Canada, Mexico, and internationally. The company is headquartered in Jacksonville, Florida.
Visit Website →ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc
INDUSTRIALS · INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS · China
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. provides express delivery and other value-added logistics services in the People's Republic of China. The company is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.
Visit Website →Compare with Other INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS Stocks
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