Mattel Inc (MAT)vsPeloton Interactive Inc (PTON)
MAT
Mattel Inc
$15.39
+2.60%
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · Cap: $4.36B
PTON
Peloton Interactive Inc
$5.69
+0.53%
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · Cap: $2.45B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Mattel Inc generates 121% more annual revenue ($5.38B vs $2.44B). MAT leads profitability with a 9.3% profit margin vs -2.1%. MAT earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 56/100 (C).
MAT
Buy56
out of 100
Grade: C
PTON
Avoid28
out of 100
Grade: F
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+34.4%
Fair Value
$24.10
Current Price
$15.39
$8.71 discount
Margin of Safety
+46.5%
Fair Value
$8.07
Current Price
$5.69
$2.38 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Every $100 of equity generates 24 in profit
Reasonable price relative to book value
Conservative balance sheet, low leverage
Areas to Watch
4.3% revenue growth
Weak financial health signals
Earnings declined 18.5%
Negative free cash flow — burning cash
0.0% earnings growth
Operating margin of 1.7%
ROE of -847.0% — below average capital efficiency
Revenue declined 2.6%
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : MAT
The strongest argument for MAT centers on P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, Price/Book. PEG of 1.19 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bull Case : PTON
The strongest argument for PTON centers on Debt/Equity.
Bear Case : MAT
The primary concerns for MAT are Revenue Growth, Piotroski F-Score, EPS Growth.
Bear Case : PTON
The primary concerns for PTON are EPS Growth, Operating Margin, Return on Equity.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
MAT profiles as a value stock while PTON is a turnaround play — different risk/reward profiles.
PTON carries more volatility with a beta of 2.50 — expect wider price swings.
MAT is growing revenue faster at 4.3% — sustainability is the question.
PTON generates stronger free cash flow (151M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
MAT scores higher overall (56/100 vs 28/100). PTON offers better value entry with a 46.5% margin of safety. Both earn "Buy" and "Avoid" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Mattel Inc
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · LEISURE · USA
Mattel, Inc., a children's entertainment company, designs and produces toys and consumer products worldwide. The company is headquartered in El Segundo, California.
Peloton Interactive Inc
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · LEISURE · USA
Peloton Interactive, Inc. offers interactive fitness products in North America and internationally. The company is headquartered in New York, New York.
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