WallStSmart

The Mosaic Company (MOS)vsNutrien Ltd (NTR)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Nutrien Ltd generates 115% more annual revenue ($25.95B vs $12.05B). NTR leads profitability with a 8.7% profit margin vs 4.5%. NTR appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.58. NTR earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 69/100 (B-).

MOS

Buy

64

out of 100

Grade: C+

Growth: 6.0Profit: 4.0Value: 10.0Quality: 7.0
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 2.22

NTR

Strong Buy

69

out of 100

Grade: B-

Growth: 6.0Profit: 6.0Value: 10.0Quality: 7.0
Piotroski: 6/9Altman Z: 1.74
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

MOSUndervalued (+60.9%)

Margin of Safety

+60.9%

Fair Value

$79.56

Current Price

$26.21

$53.35 discount

UndervaluedFair: $79.56Overvalued
NTRUndervalued (+67.3%)

Margin of Safety

+67.3%

Fair Value

$223.24

Current Price

$77.88

$145.36 discount

UndervaluedFair: $223.24Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

MOS3 strengths · Avg: 9.3/10
Price/BookValuation
0.7x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

EPS GrowthGrowth
239.5%10/10

Earnings expanding 239.5% YoY

P/E RatioValuation
16.3x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

NTR5 strengths · Avg: 8.8/10
Price/BookValuation
1.5x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

EPS GrowthGrowth
414.7%10/10

Earnings expanding 414.7% YoY

PEG RatioValuation
0.588/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

P/E RatioValuation
16.7x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Free Cash FlowQuality
$2.18B8/10

Generating 2.2B in free cash flow

Areas to Watch

MOS4 concerns · Avg: 2.8/10
Return on EquityProfitability
4.8%3/10

ROE of 4.8% — below average capital efficiency

Profit MarginProfitability
4.5%3/10

4.5% margin — thin

Operating MarginProfitability
2.8%3/10

Operating margin of 2.8%

Free Cash FlowQuality
$-405.70M2/10

Negative free cash flow — burning cash

NTR1 concerns · Avg: 4.0/10
Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.744/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : MOS

The strongest argument for MOS centers on Price/Book, EPS Growth, P/E Ratio. PEG of 1.48 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bull Case : NTR

The strongest argument for NTR centers on Price/Book, EPS Growth, PEG Ratio. PEG of 0.58 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : MOS

The primary concerns for MOS are Return on Equity, Profit Margin, Operating Margin. Thin 4.5% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Bear Case : NTR

The primary concerns for NTR are Altman Z-Score.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

NTR carries more volatility with a beta of 1.17 — expect wider price swings.

NTR is growing revenue faster at 5.7% — sustainability is the question.

NTR generates stronger free cash flow (2.2B), providing more financial flexibility.

Monitor AGRICULTURAL INPUTS industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.

Bottom Line

NTR scores higher overall (69/100 vs 64/100). MOS offers better value entry with a 60.9% margin of safety. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

The Mosaic Company

BASIC MATERIALS · AGRICULTURAL INPUTS · USA

The Mosaic Company is a Fortune 500 company based in Tampa, Florida which mines phosphate and potash, and operates through segments such as international distribution and Mosaic Fertilizantes.

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Nutrien Ltd

BASIC MATERIALS · AGRICULTURAL INPUTS · USA

Nutrien Ltd. provides inputs, services and solutions for crops. The company is headquartered in Saskatoon, Canada.

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