WallStSmart

New Century Logistics (BVI) Limited Ordinary Shares (NCEW)vsZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc generates 105665% more annual revenue ($54.21B vs $51.25M). ZTO leads profitability with a 19.0% profit margin vs -17.8%. ZTO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 80/100 (B+).

NCEW

Avoid

28

out of 100

Grade: F

Growth: 5.3Profit: 2.0Value: 5.0Quality: 4.5
Piotroski: 3/9Altman Z: -15.71

ZTO

Strong Buy

80

out of 100

Grade: B+

Growth: 8.7Profit: 7.5Value: 8.7Quality: 7.5
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 3.42
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

Intrinsic value data unavailable for NCEW.

ZTOUndervalued (+65.7%)

Margin of Safety

+65.7%

Fair Value

$72.52

Current Price

$20.61

$51.91 discount

UndervaluedFair: $72.52Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

NCEW1 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
33.5%10/10

Revenue surging 33.5% year-over-year

ZTO6 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
P/E RatioValuation
11.0x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

EPS GrowthGrowth
58.1%10/10

Earnings expanding 58.1% YoY

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
3.4210/10

Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk

Price/BookValuation
1.7x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Operating MarginProfitability
22.2%8/10

Strong operational efficiency at 22.2%

Revenue GrowthGrowth
23.0%8/10

Revenue surging 23.0% year-over-year

Areas to Watch

NCEW4 concerns · Avg: 3.5/10
Price/BookValuation
12.2x4/10

Trading at 12.2x book value

EPS GrowthGrowth
0.0%4/10

0.0% earnings growth

Market CapQuality
$60.58M3/10

Smaller company, higher risk/reward

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
3/93/10

Weak financial health signals

ZTO0 concerns · Avg: 0/10

No major concerns identified

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : NCEW

The strongest argument for NCEW centers on Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 33.5% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : ZTO

The strongest argument for ZTO centers on P/E Ratio, EPS Growth, Altman Z-Score. Profitability is solid with margins at 19.0% and operating margin at 22.2%. Revenue growth of 23.0% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : NCEW

The primary concerns for NCEW are Price/Book, EPS Growth, Market Cap.

Bear Case : ZTO

No major red flags identified for ZTO, but monitor valuation.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

NCEW profiles as a hypergrowth stock while ZTO is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.

NCEW carries more volatility with a beta of 0.58 — expect wider price swings.

NCEW is growing revenue faster at 33.5% — sustainability is the question.

Monitor INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.

Bottom Line

ZTO scores higher overall (80/100 vs 28/100), backed by strong 19.0% margins and 23.0% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Avoid" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

New Century Logistics (BVI) Limited Ordinary Shares

INDUSTRIALS · INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS · USA

New Century Logistics (BVI) Limited, offers freight forwarding services in Hong Kong. The company is headquartered in Kwun Tong, Hong Kong.

Visit Website →

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc

INDUSTRIALS · INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS · China

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. provides express delivery and other value-added logistics services in the People's Republic of China. The company is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.

Visit Website →

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