Old Dominion Freight Line Inc (ODFL)vsRXO Inc. (RXO)
ODFL
Old Dominion Freight Line Inc
$245.52
-0.81%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $51.11B
RXO
RXO Inc.
$26.86
-2.79%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $4.22B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
RXO Inc. generates 5% more annual revenue ($5.73B vs $5.46B). ODFL leads profitability with a 18.5% profit margin vs -1.8%. ODFL appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 3.51. ODFL earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 46/100 (D+).
ODFL
Hold46
out of 100
Grade: D+
RXO
Avoid35
out of 100
Grade: F
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
-78.2%
Fair Value
$137.89
Current Price
$245.52
$107.63 premium
Margin of Safety
-42.7%
Fair Value
$11.44
Current Price
$26.86
$15.42 premium
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Conservative balance sheet, low leverage
Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk
Large-cap with strong market position
Every $100 of equity generates 23 in profit
Strong operational efficiency at 23.8%
Reasonable price relative to book value
Areas to Watch
Trading at 11.6x book value
Expensive relative to growth rate
Premium valuation, high expectations priced in
Revenue declined 2.9%
Expensive relative to growth rate
ROE of -7.0% — below average capital efficiency
Revenue declined 0.6%
Earnings declined 93.2%
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : ODFL
The strongest argument for ODFL centers on Debt/Equity, Altman Z-Score, Market Cap. Profitability is solid with margins at 18.5% and operating margin at 23.8%.
Bull Case : RXO
The strongest argument for RXO centers on Price/Book.
Bear Case : ODFL
The primary concerns for ODFL are Price/Book, PEG Ratio, P/E Ratio. A P/E of 51.3x leaves little room for execution misses.
Bear Case : RXO
The primary concerns for RXO are PEG Ratio, Return on Equity, Revenue Growth.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
ODFL profiles as a declining stock while RXO is a turnaround play — different risk/reward profiles.
RXO carries more volatility with a beta of 1.85 — expect wider price swings.
RXO is growing revenue faster at -0.6% — sustainability is the question.
ODFL generates stronger free cash flow (311M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
ODFL scores higher overall (46/100 vs 35/100), backed by strong 18.5% margins. Both earn "Hold" and "Avoid" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Old Dominion Freight Line Inc
INDUSTRIALS · TRUCKING · USA
Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. is an American less than truckload shipping (LTL) company. It offers regional, inter-regional and national LTL service. In addition to its core LTL services, the company offers logistics services including ground and air expedited transportation, supply chain consulting, transportation management, truckload brokerage, container delivery and warehousing, as well as household moving services.
RXO Inc.
INDUSTRIALS · TRUCKING · USA
RXO Inc. is a leading transportation and logistics provider focused on delivering innovative freight solutions across North America. By leveraging advanced technology and data analytics, the company optimizes supply chain operations to achieve efficient and cost-effective delivery for its diverse clientele. RXO's commitment to sustainability and continuous innovation not only enhances its operational capabilities but also positions it advantageously in the dynamic logistics landscape. With a broad network and strong strategic partnerships, RXO is well-equipped to meet evolving customer needs, making it an attractive prospect for institutional investors seeking growth in the logistics sector.
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