Old Dominion Freight Line Inc (ODFL)vsRXO Inc. (RXO)
ODFL
Old Dominion Freight Line Inc
$212.47
-4.63%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $48.63B
RXO
RXO Inc.
$22.32
-1.41%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $4.76B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
RXO Inc. generates 5% more annual revenue ($5.73B vs $5.46B). ODFL leads profitability with a 18.5% profit margin vs -1.8%. ODFL appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 3.45. ODFL earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 46/100 (D+).
ODFL
Hold46
out of 100
Grade: D+
RXO
Avoid32
out of 100
Grade: F
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
-63.1%
Fair Value
$139.06
Current Price
$212.47
$73.41 premium
Margin of Safety
-41.1%
Fair Value
$11.57
Current Price
$22.32
$10.75 premium
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Conservative balance sheet, low leverage
Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk
Every $100 of equity generates 23 in profit
Strong operational efficiency at 23.8%
Reasonable price relative to book value
Areas to Watch
Trading at 10.1x book value
Expensive relative to growth rate
Premium valuation, high expectations priced in
Revenue declined 2.9%
Expensive relative to growth rate
ROE of -7.0% — below average capital efficiency
Revenue declined 0.6%
Earnings declined 93.2%
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : ODFL
The strongest argument for ODFL centers on Debt/Equity, Altman Z-Score, Return on Equity. Profitability is solid with margins at 18.5% and operating margin at 23.8%.
Bull Case : RXO
The strongest argument for RXO centers on Price/Book.
Bear Case : ODFL
The primary concerns for ODFL are Price/Book, PEG Ratio, P/E Ratio. A P/E of 48.8x leaves little room for execution misses.
Bear Case : RXO
The primary concerns for RXO are PEG Ratio, Return on Equity, Revenue Growth.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
ODFL profiles as a declining stock while RXO is a turnaround play — different risk/reward profiles.
RXO carries more volatility with a beta of 1.92 — expect wider price swings.
RXO is growing revenue faster at -0.6% — sustainability is the question.
ODFL generates stronger free cash flow (311M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
ODFL scores higher overall (46/100 vs 32/100), backed by strong 18.5% margins. Both earn "Hold" and "Avoid" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Old Dominion Freight Line Inc
INDUSTRIALS · TRUCKING · USA
Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. is an American less than truckload shipping (LTL) company. It offers regional, inter-regional and national LTL service. In addition to its core LTL services, the company offers logistics services including ground and air expedited transportation, supply chain consulting, transportation management, truckload brokerage, container delivery and warehousing, as well as household moving services.
RXO Inc.
INDUSTRIALS · TRUCKING · USA
RXO Inc. is a leading entity in the transportation and logistics sector, specializing in advanced freight solutions across North America. Leveraging innovative technology and data analytics, RXO significantly improves supply chain efficiency and cost-effectiveness for a diverse clientele. The company's unwavering focus on sustainability and continuous innovation enhances its operational prowess and competitive stature in a dynamic logistics landscape. With a robust network and strategic alliances, RXO is strategically positioned to meet the evolving needs of the industry, representing a promising opportunity for institutional investors looking for growth in logistics.
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