WallStSmart

Pitney Bowes Inc (PBI)vsZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc generates 2644% more annual revenue ($51.49B vs $1.88B). ZTO leads profitability with a 17.9% profit margin vs 8.9%. PBI appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.67. ZTO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 70/100 (B-).

PBI

Buy

62

out of 100

Grade: C+

Growth: 4.7Profit: 6.5Value: 6.0Quality: 6.0
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 1.91

ZTO

Strong Buy

70

out of 100

Grade: B-

Growth: 7.3Profit: 7.0Value: 8.0Quality: 7.5
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 3.36
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

PBISignificantly Overvalued (-84.9%)

Margin of Safety

-84.9%

Fair Value

$9.12

Current Price

$16.73

$7.62 premium

UndervaluedFair: $9.12Overvalued
ZTOUndervalued (+64.6%)

Margin of Safety

+64.6%

Fair Value

$70.28

Current Price

$22.28

$48.00 discount

UndervaluedFair: $70.28Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

PBI5 strengths · Avg: 8.8/10
EPS GrowthGrowth
105.3%10/10

Earnings expanding 105.3% YoY

Debt/EquityHealth
-2.5410/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

PEG RatioValuation
0.678/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

P/E RatioValuation
16.3x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Operating MarginProfitability
23.4%8/10

Strong operational efficiency at 23.4%

ZTO5 strengths · Avg: 8.4/10
Altman Z-ScoreHealth
3.3610/10

Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk

P/E RatioValuation
13.3x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Price/BookValuation
1.8x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Revenue GrowthGrowth
22.0%8/10

Revenue surging 22.0% year-over-year

Free Cash FlowQuality
$2.79B8/10

Generating 2.8B in free cash flow

Areas to Watch

PBI2 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.914/10

Grey zone — moderate risk

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-3.2%2/10

Revenue declined 3.2%

ZTO0 concerns · Avg: 0/10

No major concerns identified

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : PBI

The strongest argument for PBI centers on EPS Growth, Debt/Equity, PEG Ratio. PEG of 0.67 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bull Case : ZTO

The strongest argument for ZTO centers on Altman Z-Score, P/E Ratio, Price/Book. Profitability is solid with margins at 17.9% and operating margin at 19.2%. Revenue growth of 22.0% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : PBI

The primary concerns for PBI are Altman Z-Score, Revenue Growth.

Bear Case : ZTO

No major red flags identified for ZTO, but monitor valuation.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

PBI profiles as a value stock while ZTO is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.

PBI carries more volatility with a beta of 1.64 — expect wider price swings.

ZTO is growing revenue faster at 22.0% — sustainability is the question.

ZTO generates stronger free cash flow (2.8B), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

ZTO scores higher overall (70/100 vs 62/100), backed by strong 17.9% margins and 22.0% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Pitney Bowes Inc

INDUSTRIALS · INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS · USA

Pitney Bowes Inc., a technology company, offers business solutions in the United States and internationally. The company is headquartered in Stamford, Connecticut.

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc

INDUSTRIALS · INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS · China

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. provides express delivery and other value-added logistics services in the People's Republic of China. The company is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.

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