WallStSmart

Universal Logistics Holdings Inc (ULH)vsXPO Logistics Inc (XPO)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

XPO Logistics Inc generates 423% more annual revenue ($8.16B vs $1.56B). XPO leads profitability with a 3.9% profit margin vs -6.4%. XPO appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 2.17. XPO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 41/100 (D).

ULH

Avoid

35

out of 100

Grade: F

Growth: 2.0Profit: 3.0Value: 4.0Quality: 5.5
Piotroski: 1/9Altman Z: 1.88

XPO

Hold

41

out of 100

Grade: D

Growth: 3.3Profit: 6.0Value: 4.7Quality: 5.0
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

Intrinsic value data unavailable for ULH.

XPOSignificantly Overvalued (-1020.0%)

Margin of Safety

-1020.0%

Fair Value

$18.02

Current Price

$192.86

$174.84 premium

UndervaluedFair: $18.02Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

ULH1 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Price/BookValuation
1.0x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

XPO0 strengths · Avg: 0/10

No standout strengths identified

Areas to Watch

ULH4 concerns · Avg: 3.3/10
Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.884/10

Grey zone — moderate risk

Market CapQuality
$516.20M3/10

Smaller company, higher risk/reward

Operating MarginProfitability
4.5%3/10

Operating margin of 4.5%

Debt/EquityHealth
1.623/10

Elevated debt levels

XPO4 concerns · Avg: 3.8/10
PEG RatioValuation
2.174/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Price/BookValuation
12.1x4/10

Trading at 12.1x book value

Revenue GrowthGrowth
4.6%4/10

4.6% revenue growth

Profit MarginProfitability
3.9%3/10

3.9% margin — thin

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : ULH

The strongest argument for ULH centers on Price/Book.

Bull Case : XPO

XPO has a balanced fundamental profile.

Bear Case : ULH

The primary concerns for ULH are Altman Z-Score, Market Cap, Operating Margin. Debt-to-equity of 1.62 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Bear Case : XPO

The primary concerns for XPO are PEG Ratio, Price/Book, Revenue Growth. A P/E of 70.3x leaves little room for execution misses. Thin 3.9% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

ULH profiles as a turnaround stock while XPO is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.

XPO carries more volatility with a beta of 1.72 — expect wider price swings.

XPO is growing revenue faster at 4.6% — sustainability is the question.

XPO generates stronger free cash flow (119M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

XPO scores higher overall (41/100 vs 35/100). Both earn "Hold" and "Avoid" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Universal Logistics Holdings Inc

INDUSTRIALS · TRUCKING · USA

Universal Logistics Holdings, Inc. offers transportation and logistics solutions in the United States, Mexico, Canada and Colombia. The company is headquartered in Warren, Michigan.

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XPO Logistics Inc

INDUSTRIALS · TRUCKING · USA

XPO Logistics, Inc. provides supply chain solutions in the United States, the rest of North America, France, the United Kingdom, the rest of Europe, and internationally. The company is headquartered in Greenwich, Connecticut.

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