Fossil Group Inc (FOSL) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target
Fossil Group Inc stock (FOSL) is currently trading at $4.10. Fossil Group Inc PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 0.23. Analyst consensus price target for FOSL is $5.00. WallStSmart rates FOSL as Sell.
- FOSL PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
- FOSL PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
- FOSL intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
- FOSL stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
- FOSL fair value vs current price
- FOSL insider transactions and insider buying
- Is FOSL undervalued or overvalued?
- Fossil Group Inc financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
- FOSL Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
- FOSL analyst price target and Smart Rating
Fossil Group Inc
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Smart Analysis
Fossil Group Inc (FOSL) · 10 metrics scored
Smart Score
Category Performance
WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.
Investment Thesis
Strong fundamentals in peg ratio, price/sales. Concerns around market cap and return on equity. Mixed signals suggest waiting for clearer direction before acting.
Fossil Group Inc (FOSL) Key Strengths (2)
Paying less than $1 for every $1 of annual revenue
Good growth relative to its price
Supporting Valuation Data
Fossil Group Inc (FOSL) Areas to Watch (8)
Company is destroying shareholder value
Revenue declining -15.20%, a shrinking business
Earnings declining -81.70%, profits shrinking
Company is losing money with a negative profit margin
Very thin margins with limited operational efficiency
Micro-cap company with very limited liquidity and high volatility
Fairly priced relative to book value
Moderate institutional interest at 49.91%
Supporting Valuation Data
Fossil Group Inc (FOSL) Detailed Analysis Report
Overall Assessment
This company scores 37/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a F grade. Out of 10 metrics analyzed, 2 register as strengths (avg 9.0/10) while 8 fall into concern territory (avg 2.1/10). The category breakdown reveals uneven performance, with some areas requiring attention.
The Bull Case
The strongest argument centers on Price/Sales, PEG Ratio. Valuation metrics including PEG Ratio (1.23), Price/Sales (0.23) suggest the stock is attractively priced.
The Bear Case
The primary concerns are Return on Equity, Revenue Growth, EPS Growth. Some valuation metrics including Price/Book (2.27) suggest expensive pricing. Growth concerns include Revenue Growth at -15.20%, EPS Growth at -81.70%, which may limit upside. Profitability pressure is visible in Return on Equity at -39.30%, Operating Margin at 7.16%, Profit Margin at -5.49%.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether Return on Equity improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at -39.30% needing improvement to support the investment thesis. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at -15.20% needing to reaccelerate.
Risk Considerations
Based on the metric profile, this is a higher risk investment. There are more areas of concern than strength, warranting a more conservative position size. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.
Bottom Line
Fundamental challenges outweigh strengths at current levels. Return on Equity and Revenue Growth are the primary drags. Consider waiting for meaningful improvement before committing capital.
Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.
FOSL Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart
Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue
FOSL's Price-to-Sales ratio of 0.23x trades at a deep discount to its historical average of 1.2x (7th percentile). The current valuation is 93% below its historical high of 3.33x set in Jul 2011, and 78% above its historical low of 0.13x in Nov 2017.
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Data-driven financial summary for Fossil Group Inc (FOSL) · CONSUMER CYCLICAL › FOOTWEAR & ACCESSORIES
The Big Picture
Fossil Group Inc is in a turnaround phase, with management focused on restoring profitability. Revenue reached 1.1B with 15% decline year-over-year. The company is currently unprofitable, posting a -5.5% profit margin.
Key Findings
Generating 14M in free cash flow and 15M in operating cash flow. Earnings are translating into actual cash generation.
Revenue contracted 15% YoY. Worth determining whether this is cyclical or structural.
The company is unprofitable with a -5.5% profit margin. The path to breakeven will be the key catalyst.
What to Watch Next
Volatility is elevated with a beta of 1.64, so expect amplified moves relative to the broader market.
Sector dynamics: monitor FOOTWEAR & ACCESSORIES industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact Fossil Group Inc.
Bottom Line
Fossil Group Inc is in turnaround mode. The path to profitability remains the critical question. Speculative investors may see opportunity in the recovery story, but conservative investors should wait for consistent positive earnings before committing capital.
This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Insider Transactions(9 last 3 months)
| Insider | Type | Shares |
|---|---|---|
SCHOPPERT, WENDY LEE Director | Buy | +21,929 |
Data sourced from SEC Form 4 filings
Last updated: 8:21:26 AM
About Fossil Group Inc(FOSL)
NASDAQ
CONSUMER CYCLICAL
FOOTWEAR & ACCESSORIES
USA
Fossil Group, Inc. designs, develops, markets, and distributes consumer fashion accessories in the United States, Europe, Asia, and internationally. The company is headquartered in Richardson, Texas.